#美SEC促进加密资产创新监管框架 🚨 Triple black swans soaring together, the market is about to explode this week
If you look closely at the news these past few days, it's all major events piling up—
**Japan's 7.6-magnitude earthquake** came very suddenly. The tsunami warning is one thing, but what's even more troubling is that the Bank of Japan's rate hike plan has been directly disrupted. The yen has depreciated in response, policy maneuvering space instantly vanished, and disaster relief has been forcibly pushed to top priority.
**The Fed's December rate cut**, the probability is right there—87%. But every word Powell says could rewrite market expectations. This is the most dangerous part: will the dot plot hint that there are no more cuts coming? Are seeds of disagreement being sown within the committee? If expectations reverse, the impact will be direct.
**Funds have already started shifting positions behind the scenes**. Both US stocks and bonds are showing signs of early reaction, as everyone is choosing to pull back in the face of major uncertainties. Global central banks are all holding their breath right now.
To put it bluntly, this isn't just an interest rate decision. Earthquake disaster relief, the Fed's hawkish stance, and geopolitical volatility—all three coming together amount to a stress test. The real market swings might actually come after the so-called "good news" is fully priced in.
What do you think? $BTC $ETH $BNB How do you think things will play out in the short term?
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GasFeeCrier
· 12-11 03:36
Black swans are coming one after another; Powell needs to watch his words carefully. The dot plot is the real secret weapon.
View OriginalReply0
PerennialLeek
· 12-10 10:25
Earthquake + Powell, these two together really can't hold up, BTC is probably going to plunge in the short term.
View OriginalReply0
ImpermanentSage
· 12-09 09:37
Powell's words really decide everything. An 87% probability of a rate cut means nothing if he doesn't want to cut; it's all up to whether he wants to or not.
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WhaleMistaker
· 12-09 09:28
The earthquake disrupted the Bank of Japan's plans, and a single comment from Powell could reverse the market... This week is indeed a bit intense. Feels like funds will have to wait a bit longer before bottom fishing, to see what the dot plot says.
View OriginalReply0
DataOnlooker
· 12-09 09:20
The earthquake in Japan has everyone on edge. Now it's all about what Powell will say... This 87% rate cut probability feels pretty shaky.
#美SEC促进加密资产创新监管框架 🚨 Triple black swans soaring together, the market is about to explode this week
If you look closely at the news these past few days, it's all major events piling up—
**Japan's 7.6-magnitude earthquake** came very suddenly. The tsunami warning is one thing, but what's even more troubling is that the Bank of Japan's rate hike plan has been directly disrupted. The yen has depreciated in response, policy maneuvering space instantly vanished, and disaster relief has been forcibly pushed to top priority.
**The Fed's December rate cut**, the probability is right there—87%. But every word Powell says could rewrite market expectations. This is the most dangerous part: will the dot plot hint that there are no more cuts coming? Are seeds of disagreement being sown within the committee? If expectations reverse, the impact will be direct.
**Funds have already started shifting positions behind the scenes**. Both US stocks and bonds are showing signs of early reaction, as everyone is choosing to pull back in the face of major uncertainties. Global central banks are all holding their breath right now.
To put it bluntly, this isn't just an interest rate decision. Earthquake disaster relief, the Fed's hawkish stance, and geopolitical volatility—all three coming together amount to a stress test. The real market swings might actually come after the so-called "good news" is fully priced in.
What do you think? $BTC $ETH $BNB How do you think things will play out in the short term?