Rate cuts may trigger a rebound, but real profits come from "trend-following trading," not guessing outcomes.

This time, the probability of a rate cut is as high as 84%, and market sentiment has clearly warmed up. However, in my view, what truly impacts returns isn't prediction, but whether you have a mature trading system.

My outlook on the rate cut is straightforward:
Rate cut = improved liquidity = medium-term bullish for risk assets.
But in the short term, it will definitely bring intense volatility, making it unsuitable to take heavy positions and bet on a direction.

Therefore, I divide trading strategies into two categories:
① Trend-following strategies: follow the trend once the direction is clear.
If the rate cut triggers a breakout, go with the trend; if hawkish rhetoric offsets the cut, wait for a secondary entry point. No guessing, no gambling, just following.
② Swing strategies: repeatedly buy low and sell high within a range.
This is the most stable approach to deal with sharp shakeouts—there will always be room for profit regardless of the outcome.

At the same time, I'll focus on:
* Weakening US Dollar Index → bullish for crypto
* Gold and Nasdaq performance → can help gauge risk appetite in advance
* Whether BTC breaks key areas on high volume

A rate cut can stimulate the market, but your entry position determines whether you profit or just ride the emotional waves.
Major market moves aren't captured by predictions, but by patience and strategy. #美联储降息预测