Recently, I came across an interesting phenomenon worth discussing—various media outlets are frantically sharing all sorts of “prediction posts,” ranging from claims that the market will skyrocket tomorrow to predictions of a crash next week.

This makes me curious: among those who have actually made money in the trading market, how many of them really got started by making “predictions”?

I’ve seen plenty of people who spend all day studying candlestick charts and staring at technical indicators, but they still end up losing money. On the other hand, some seasoned traders who don’t seem to make many predictions end up quietly making a fortune.

So here’s the question—do you think the big winners in trading rely on accurately predicting the market, or do they depend on something else? For example, risk control, position management, or maybe just luck?

Feels like this topic could lead to a lot of interesting discussions.