Some reviews of recent trades and an explanation of subscription pricing going forward

November basically ended perfectly, but the market in December has been hit with consecutive shocks.

There was a big drop on the 1st, a direct V-shaped rebound to new highs on the 2nd, and then after dropping 150 points last night, it shot up another 250 points. It’s honestly pretty crazy.

Such volatility is actually very suitable for trading contracts, but if you get the direction wrong, the losses can be huge.

Recently, there have been fewer people interacting, as some of you might have noticed. Some might think that I’m not performing well, and some might have already been liquidated and temporarily left the crypto scene.

Last week, after suffering big losses in the first half, I gradually started making steady profits in the second half and at least didn’t lose any more. Overall, it’s not bad.

But I know that the vast majority of you are still in a losing state, maybe even quite a lot.

I’ve been thinking about how to give signals so that everyone can make money effortlessly, and how to communicate so that you all can learn to cut losses at certain points in time.

I know that stop-loss is a tough issue, and I struggle with it too. After that big drop and V-shaped rebound on the 2nd, I stubbornly added positions to two coins and ended up stopping out.

After thinking about it, I think a better approach is to use 20% of your total position for contract trading. Even if you lose it all, it’s just 20%. The rest can go into Earn or staking activities. If you make money from contracts, transfer some out. If you go all-in on contracts and get liquidated, you’ll just keep trying to add margin. You need to set some hard rules for yourself. Seriously, don’t take big losses anymore. If I take a loss, I can recover in a week or two, but what about you?

Some explanations about future subscription pricing

Overall, the price is really cheap now—basically free for everyone. I didn’t expect to have so many subscribers with a small fan base, and I’m very grateful for your support.

I don’t do hindsight analysis. The entry points I give are usually timed well enough to profit, though sometimes they miss by a few points or get stopped out. Overall, I think my success rate is over 70%.

Honestly, I can’t draw lines, don’t understand ascending or descending channels, don’t know Chan theory, and can’t count waves.

I’m pretty straightforward. I won’t tell you, like some influencers, “As long as it doesn’t break here, go short; watch this area. As long as it doesn’t fall below there, go long; watch that area.” Then afterwards, they show you a screenshot to prove they “called it in advance.” Yet, if you make a mistake, they’ll question you, “Why did you go short after it broke out? Why did you go long after it broke down?” But the key issue is, when actually trading, how am I supposed to know if the market will break or not? What exactly counts as “not breaking”?

My approach might be more like gambling: I bet that it won’t break at this level and will reverse; I bet that it won’t fall below this level and will bounce. Compared to vague concepts, I prefer to use specific entry points to test and to bet.

Nine out of ten gamblers lose—that’s true. But if the success rate is relatively high and you cut your losses when you’re wrong, just treat it as a lost bet. I don’t think that’s a problem. No one can be 100% accurate. You have to learn to accept your own mistakes. If you’re wrong, you simply made the wrong call. The next time you encounter a similar market, your chances of being wrong will be lower. On the other hand, if you make money on a wrong call, you’ll probably end up giving it all back next time, because you didn’t distinguish whether you were right or wrong.

About pricing: I plan to peg the subscription fee to the price of GT. If GT becomes more expensive, I’ll lower the price accordingly; if GT drops, I’ll raise the price. I expect the 2026 subscription price to be $30/month. Compared to other influencers, I think this is still quite cheap.

Of course, as I’ve promised, if you don’t have the entry points, you can just ask in the comments. Subscribe only after you make money.

Our main goal is still to make money. If you think another influencer is more reliable, that’s fine—just follow them. For beginners, remember not to keep switching between influencers often. Each influencer is suited to different market conditions. Just find a reliable one and follow them consistently, unless they’re really terrible.

A lot of news is just noise. If you pay attention to too much, you’ll get distracted. Sometimes, you just need to focus on the market itself.