#美联储重启降息步伐 Early Monday, let’s get straight to the point and talk about how to view this week.

The market is still bottoming out—that’s the reality. BTC touched just below 90,000 last night, and bulls got shaken out, with the fear index spiking toward “Extreme Fear.” Honestly, before sentiment truly stabilizes, the most important thing to watch this week isn’t how high we can go, but where we can actually hold the bottom.

There are two major events on Thursday—the interest rate decision and a certain central bank governor’s speech. These will directly determine the next move. I’m watching two things: first, any signal that quantitative tightening might pause; second, how many steps are left in the rate-cutting cycle. Last week closed with a doji, a classic “waiting for news” pattern. Before the dust settles, we’re likely to see daily-level choppy moves, with repeated tests of support around 90,000.

Institutional moves are already reflected in ETF data. Last week (December 1 to 5), spot ETFs saw BTC net outflows close to $90 million, and ETH outflows of over $60 million. But look at SOL—while the volume isn’t huge, it still netted nearly $20 million in inflows. What does this mean? Big money is on the sidelines, but not pulling out completely—the funds are concentrating on a few favored assets. SOL’s recent stance is pretty clear.

What’s the play today? In a choppy market, don’t get carried away. Here are some reference ranges: BTC is swinging between 88,500 and 92,500; ETH roughly 2,980 to 3,180; SOL between 128 and 137. When the trend is unclear, chasing highs and emotional trading are major pitfalls.

If you’re trading short-term, watch these levels. $BTC Longs can consider entering around 90,000, with more aggressive entries at 88,500, targeting 93,500; shorts above 92,000, add at 93,500, target back to 90,000. $ETH Longs at 3,060, add at 2,960, targeting 3,160; shorts at 3,150, add at 3,250, target 3,050. $SOL Longs at 131, add at 126, target 136; shorts at 135, add at 140, target 130.

Lastly, a reminder: set your stop losses based on your own liquidation price and risk tolerance. Don’t be greedy, don’t hold on stubbornly, and definitely don’t fight the trend. Take profit when you can—protecting your principal always comes first.