#美联储重启降息步伐 Gold's early session today is a bit indecisive.
Looking at the 4H timeframe, the price is seesawing at high levels, with the bears having a slight edge. The key levels on both ends are firmly held—resistance and support are both quite clear.
On the indicator side, the J value is dropping quickly and is now sitting at a low point. The K value has crossed below the D value, which signals considerable short-term pullback pressure, and this downward momentum may not be over yet.
Currently, gold is gradually pulling back from its highs, with bears temporarily in control. However, with the J value at this level, a technical rebound could happen at any time. The key point is—can the rebound break through the moving average resistance? If it fails, the pullback will likely continue.
Here are two trading ideas:
Aggressive traders: Wait for a rebound to the 4209-4219 range, try a light short position, set a stop loss above 4225, and target the 4192-4180 area first.
Conservative traders: Don’t rush in. Either wait for the price to firmly stand above 4220, or wait for it to break below 4190, then follow the trend.
In summary, during this high-level consolidation phase, don’t try to pick the top or bottom—wait for a clear direction before making a move for more stability.
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ruggedSoBadLMAO
· Just Now
This wave of gold tug-of-war is really annoying, but it is only a matter of time before the J value is so low that it can be pulled back, and the key is to see if it can break the moving average
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AlphaWhisperer
· 12-08 02:50
The tug-of-war at the high level is really annoying, but I still have to wait for the K value to rebound before making any moves...
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FlashLoanLord
· 12-08 02:50
After such a prolonged tug-of-war at the top, it feels like our mindset is about to be tested again. However, the cautious approach really does make sense—waiting until the direction is clear before entering still feels more comfortable.
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Token_Sherpa
· 12-08 02:50
ngl, the whole "fed pivot narrative" is getting tired... gold's just doing what it always does during these macro resets. that 4H consolidation looks textbook enough, but here's the thing—nobody's talking about the real issue: why are we even fighting the trend when the fed's signals are this muddy?
sustainable positioning beats chasing every pullback, just saying.
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SellLowExpert
· 12-08 02:50
Here comes the tug-of-war again. This round of high-level consolidation is so annoying... Better wait for a clear direction before making a move, no need to stress myself out.
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HalfBuddhaMoney
· 12-08 02:41
It's the same old trick with moving average suppression—every rebound gets pushed back down. So frustrating. I'll just wait until it breaks below 4190 before making any moves.
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SmartContractPlumber
· 12-08 02:40
To put it simply, this gold trend is a manifestation of unclear authority control. High-level consolidation is just like an unaudited contract—nobody dares to make a move. The J value dropping so quickly is like an emergency rollback after detecting a reentrancy vulnerability, indicating that the risk has already been exposed. Can the rebound break through the moving average? That depends on whether there’s been formal verification—if it doesn’t break through, the pullback will continue. This is an inevitable chain reaction.
#美联储重启降息步伐 Gold's early session today is a bit indecisive.
Looking at the 4H timeframe, the price is seesawing at high levels, with the bears having a slight edge. The key levels on both ends are firmly held—resistance and support are both quite clear.
On the indicator side, the J value is dropping quickly and is now sitting at a low point. The K value has crossed below the D value, which signals considerable short-term pullback pressure, and this downward momentum may not be over yet.
Currently, gold is gradually pulling back from its highs, with bears temporarily in control. However, with the J value at this level, a technical rebound could happen at any time. The key point is—can the rebound break through the moving average resistance? If it fails, the pullback will likely continue.
Here are two trading ideas:
Aggressive traders: Wait for a rebound to the 4209-4219 range, try a light short position, set a stop loss above 4225, and target the 4192-4180 area first.
Conservative traders: Don’t rush in. Either wait for the price to firmly stand above 4220, or wait for it to break below 4190, then follow the trend.
In summary, during this high-level consolidation phase, don’t try to pick the top or bottom—wait for a clear direction before making a move for more stability.