#ETH走势分析 Ten years ago, I entered the market with 30,000 yuan, and now my account has reached the tens of millions level. Many people think I rely on some advanced techniques, but the core is just one thing—position control.

Simply put, surviving is a hundred times more important than making quick money.

My method is simple, but it really works: I only ever use half of my funds, and then divide that half into 5 parts. Each time I open a position, I use 1 part, which is 20% of my total funds, and I set a hard stop-loss at 10%. Doing the math, even if I get the direction wrong, the maximum loss per trade is 2% of my total funds. Even if I make 5 consecutive mistakes, my principal only drops by 10%. But as long as I get it right once and take profits above 10%, the math works out.

Take small losses, make big gains—that’s really all there is to it.

**Don’t go against the trend**

Beginners love to try catching the bottom. They see the coin price drop a lot and think it’s cheap, only to catch a falling knife. The real time to act is when there’s a pullback during an uptrend—that’s the opportunity. If it falls below the moving average, close all positions and wait; only consider re-entering once it’s above the moving average again. Don’t make things harder for your own money.

**Stay away from those hype coins**

I basically don’t touch coins that double in a short period. Behind those surges is often a money game, and retail investors usually end up as bag holders. I prefer to look for assets where the 30-day moving average has just turned upwards—clear trend, low time cost. Earning steady mid-term gains is much more reliable than chasing hot topics.

**Technical indicators are just a reference**

I look at MACD, but I don’t depend on it. When DIF and DEA form a golden cross below the zero axis and then break above it, that signal is relatively stable. More importantly, I watch volume: after a period of low-volume consolidation at the bottom, a sudden spike in volume is worth noting; if volume surges at the top but price can’t move higher, that’s a sign to consider exiting.

**Only add to winning positions**

Never average down when losing—that just digs the hole deeper. The right approach is to wait until the trade is profitable, then use floating profits to tentatively add to the position, letting the profits roll. The principal is always the bottom line—never gamble with it.

One last thing: making money in crypto takes patience, not speed. Review your trades weekly, check if your logic for holding still stands, and don’t hesitate to exit when it’s time. This method may look clumsy, but if you execute it well, your account can really stabilize.

Among my students who strictly follow this, doubling their account in three months isn’t a problem. The key is discipline, not luck.