#美国经济指标 analyzed the latest NABE annual survey report, which shows some positive signals for the US economic outlook. GDP growth is expected to slightly increase to 2% next year, mainly driven by personal consumption and business investment. However, inflationary pressures remain, with inflation projected to only drop to 2.6% next year. The job market may continue to cool, with monthly new jobs expected to be only 64,000.

Key risk factors include trade tariffs and tightening immigration policies, which could weigh on economic growth. On the other hand, productivity improvement is seen as a potential upside driver.

Given the economic data, the Federal Reserve's monetary policy is expected to remain relatively cautious. There may be a 25 basis point rate cut in December, with another 50 basis points of cuts possible next year. Overall, policy rates may approach neutral levels.

These economic indicators have a significant impact on asset prices and market sentiment. It is recommended to closely monitor subsequent data changes, especially trends in key indicators such as inflation and employment. At the same time, be alert to the potential impact of geopolitical risks on the economy.