If we return again to cycle theory.

It’s very likely that the peak was reached on October 6th—slightly earlier than the predicted November to December range, but overall in line with expectations.
Of course, I hoped to see a new ATH before the end of December, but now that possibility is almost zero.
In my view, the end of 2026 might be the best time to establish new positions.
Assuming interest rates continue to be lowered but the economy still declines—the market drops.
To restart the money printer and bring interest rates close to zero again, a strong shock would be needed. This kind of shock would cause the market to plunge further in an instant. Only after this would a slow, gradual recovery begin. This takes time, and the end of 2026 fits perfectly with this scenario.
But none of this is the most important thing.
Each of us can find countless reasons to support our own stance. If you’re in the market—you’ll see bullish signals. If you’re out—you’ll see evidence of a downturn. That’s normal; it’s just how our brains work. As for what will actually happen—no one knows.
Right now, I’m gradually selling off my positions because psychologically I can no longer handle it. The current losses are still acceptable, but if it drops another -50%, that would be too serious. So I want to exit into stablecoins and stay on the sidelines for now to observe the market.
We need to have the courage to admit mistakes and let go of assets we no longer believe in.
However, there are still some assets I think have long-term potential. I plan to start accumulating them again in the next cycle:
$BTC , $ETH , $ZEC
But sometimes I also wonder: maybe, I shouldn’t try to be too clever, and just hold BTC and ETH? In this cycle, almost no one has outperformed Bitcoin’s returns—what makes me think that will suddenly change next cycle? $BTC ‌$ETH ‌#成长值抽奖赢iPhone17和周边 #广场发帖领$50 #参与创作者认证计划月领$10,000