Your strategy is sound as it covers the three main scenarios—Range, Breakout, and Breakdown—with explicit stop-loss and take-profit levels. 1. Range Trading (Current Focus) Action: Light Long at $86,500 – $87,500 (using the bounce from the recent low). Risk/Reward: The stop-loss at $85,000 is tight and appropriate for a short-term range trade, targeting the first major resistance at $90,000 and a stretch to 93,000. Confirmation: Wait for a clear sign that the $86,000-$85,500 support is holding (e.g., a strong bullish candle on a 15-minute or 1-hour chart) before entry. 2. Breakout Following (Aggressive Long) Trigger: 15-minute candle close effectively above 90,000 with increased volume. Action: Chase Longs. Refinement: This requires patience. Do not front-run the 90,000 break. The high liquidation events suggest false breakouts are possible, so volume confirmation is essential. 3. Breakdown Defense (Bearish Short) Trigger: Price break below 85,000 (breaking the immediate stabilizing range). Action: Switch to Light Short. Risk/Reward: The immediate target of 83,000 and a second target of the critical 80,000 level offers a good risk/reward profile for a move to the downside. ⚠️ Risk Management Note: Your rules for position sizing (Single trade \le10\% of capital, total position \le30\%) and strict adherence to stop-loss are crucial in this high-volatility environment. Given the recent liquidations, the market is particularly sensitive to sudden moves. Would you like to explore potential macro events (like US economic data or Fed talk) that could impact this strategy for tomorrow, December 4, 2025?
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#PostonSquaretoEarn$50 💡 Strategy Confirmation and Refinement
Your strategy is sound as it covers the three main scenarios—Range, Breakout, and Breakdown—with explicit stop-loss and take-profit levels.
1. Range Trading (Current Focus)
Action: Light Long at $86,500 – $87,500 (using the bounce from the recent low).
Risk/Reward: The stop-loss at $85,000 is tight and appropriate for a short-term range trade, targeting the first major resistance at $90,000 and a stretch to 93,000.
Confirmation: Wait for a clear sign that the $86,000-$85,500 support is holding (e.g., a strong bullish candle on a 15-minute or 1-hour chart) before entry.
2. Breakout Following (Aggressive Long)
Trigger: 15-minute candle close effectively above 90,000 with increased volume.
Action: Chase Longs.
Refinement: This requires patience. Do not front-run the 90,000 break. The high liquidation events suggest false breakouts are possible, so volume confirmation is essential.
3. Breakdown Defense (Bearish Short)
Trigger: Price break below 85,000 (breaking the immediate stabilizing range).
Action: Switch to Light Short.
Risk/Reward: The immediate target of 83,000 and a second target of the critical 80,000 level offers a good risk/reward profile for a move to the downside.
⚠️ Risk Management Note: Your rules for position sizing (Single trade \le10\% of capital, total position \le30\%) and strict adherence to stop-loss are crucial in this high-volatility environment. Given the recent liquidations, the market is particularly sensitive to sudden moves.
Would you like to explore potential macro events (like US economic data or Fed talk) that could impact this strategy for tomorrow, December 4, 2025?