Quantitative tightening (QT) has wrapped up, but quantitative easing (QE) hasn’t officially started yet. Now the probability of a rate cut has soared to 87%, and a weaker US dollar is basically a sure thing—after all, this is the path that must be taken to ease debt pressures.

After observing the C2C market on a leading platform, there are indeed some early signs of loosening. However, the 7-yuan psychological barrier is still holding strong, and it’s unlikely to be broken through in the short term.

In the current situation, getting funds moving might be the wiser choice. A stagnant market benefits no one; only with increased liquidity will there be more opportunities.

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BearEatsAll

· 12-03 04:51

87% probability, is the US dollar really going to lose its footing this time? --- The 7-yuan defense is so strong, feels like we still have to wait for the FED to actually step in. --- To put it plainly, they have to print money; there's no other way out. --- Only when liquidity picks up can we make real profits. Right now, it's really frustrating. --- With this round of QE coming, what should I do with the US dollars I’m holding? --- Psychological defenses break with just a poke, don’t be overly optimistic. --- With such heavy debt pressure, rate cuts are just a delay. --- Seeing C2C loosening up, I have a feeling there are still major moves to come. --- When capital starts moving, everyone earns. The key is to be fast.

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ProposalManiac

· 12-03 04:48

87% chance of a rate cut sounds certain, but in reality, it’s just a bet that the central bank has no other options—debt is something that ultimately someone has to pay for, and this mechanism is fundamentally flawed. Will the psychological barrier at 7 hold? I’d like to see how long it can last. Historically, these “unbreakable” psychological levels are often the most vulnerable moments. Saying “once liquidity returns, there will be opportunities” sounds easy, but the precondition is that market participants’ incentives are truly aligned—right now, the question is, who will take the first step?

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PanicSeller69

· 12-03 04:47

You dare to claim an 87% probability? Looks to me like this data is just made up.

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