#美SEC推动加密创新监管 In the past week, there has been a dramatic shift in the global monetary policy direction. The Fed's expectation for a rate cut in December jumped from 20% last week to 86%—this probability surge is behind the continuously weakening U.S. employment data and the densely released signals of weak consumer demand. Meanwhile, the Japanese government has just approved a new bond issuance plan of 11.5 trillion yen, while the UK is relying on tax increases to fill fiscal gaps.

The fiat currency system is a game that everyone can understand: economic downturn → quantitative easing to save the market → dilution of currency purchasing power. The logic of Bitcoin at this time is very straightforward — a total supply of 21 million coins, naturally possessing anti-dilution properties. It's not that it will definitely rise, but when central banks around the world are simultaneously opening the floodgates for quantitative easing, funds have to find a place to preserve their value.

The price of BTC is now approaching the $90,000 mark, and the market is starting to show two different opinions: one side believes that the "Christmas rally" can make another surge, while the other side is worried that this is a trap for speculators. However, the biggest mistake retail investors make is not judging the direction, but losing control of their trading rhythm—either they chase after news and buy high and sell low as "news retail investors," or they focus solely on the K-line and ignore the larger backdrop of macro liquidity.

If you really want to participate in this market trend, there are a few points that need to be considered carefully:
First of all, manage your positions and avoid going all in; at least keep 30% cash to respond to pullbacks.
Secondly, keep an eye on the Fed's interest rate meeting in December and the movements of the US stock market at the end of the year, as these two variables directly affect market sentiment.
In terms of coin selection, BTC is relatively stable, while $ETH has larger fluctuations but also more elasticity. For small market cap coins like $ZEC and $MELANIA , it depends on individual risk preferences.

Global monetary easing is indeed a major trend, but when it comes to each trading decision, data, timing, and position control are all essential. When market sentiment is overheated, staying calm is more valuable than acting impulsively.