Why does Xiao Shuai say that retail traders will inevitably fail at trading contracts?

It's not an emotional expression; it's a clear understanding of the current underlying logic.

The noise in the market is increasing, and truly meaningful signals are decreasing.
K-line charts, patterns, indicators—these have long been dissected thoroughly by quantitative teams.
Machines can make judgments in milliseconds, and humans have no chance of winning.

The opponents of those trading contracts are not other retail traders but high-speed quantitative systems.
It's like trying to charge a high-frequency machine gun position with cold weapons—losing is a matter of probability, surviving is a miracle.

At this point, Xiao Shuai also believes that the real way out is to move toward a deeper understanding.

First, the rhythm of narrative initiation and diffusion—who is telling the story, to whom, and when capital flows in;
Second, the verifiability of fundamentals—cash flow, genuine users, protocol revenue, token release, governance design.

AI has already taken over short-term trading,
but it still doesn't understand emotions and beliefs—that's where we need to specialize.