#美国政府停运 Washington has once again completed that familiar performance before the deadline - the House and Senate bickered until the last moment, finally passing a temporary funding bill to avert another federal government shutdown. The people at the Treasury Department have probably become accustomed to this adrenaline rush, and Wall Street traders can't be bothered to take a second look, after all, this script hasn't changed in over a decade.


From 2013 to now, this has basically become an annual fixed routine. Each time it's the budget that can't be agreed upon, the debt ceiling hitting the ceiling, causing a huge uproar, and then at the last moment miraculously "shaking hands and making peace". What can we say about this? It's just extending the fuse of the bomb for a few more months.
The truly deadly number is hidden behind: the fiscal deficit has long broken the 2 trillion dollar mark, and the scale of national debt has become too daunting to count the zeros. What did this compromise solve? Nothing was solved. It merely pushed back the time for the explosion, waiting to reenact it when the next deadline arrives.
The market reaction is quite honest. The US dollar index has slightly pulled back, gold has slightly risen, risk assets have sighed in relief and started to rebound, and the crypto market has also benefited a bit—after all, "the crisis is temporarily alleviated" sounds better than "immediate collapse."
But smart money knows better: this is not a positive signal, it is the result of dragging things out to the extreme. As the debt snowball grows larger, the Federal Reserve's stabilizing tricks will eventually fail. The question is not whether something will happen, but when it will explode.
Ultimately, this financial tug-of-war in Washington is like a reality show that never ends — the audience knows the plot twists, but everyone is waiting for that moment: will it really crash this time? $ETH $BTC $GIGGLE
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