The probability that the Federal Reserve will maintain the interest rate unchanged this time is 97.7%.

On May 8, Jin Ten Data reported that according to CME's "The Federal Reserve Watch": the probability of the Federal Reserve keeping the interest rate unchanged this time is 97.3%, and the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 2.3%. The probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining the interest rate unchanged until June is 71.6%, the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 27.8%, and the cumulative probability of a 50 basis point rate cut is 0.6%.