"AI Prediction Market Trading Competition": GLM-5 Achieves 42.99% Return Rate, Only Model to Surpass Human Baseline

CoinNetwork

2026-03-22 04:45:44

CoinWorld News, on March 22, Zhipu Z.ai Global Director Li Zixuan posted on X that “whether due to luck or analytical ability, GLM-5 is currently the only model surpassing the ‘human benchmark’ in Prediction Arena prediction market trading.” Prediction Arena data shows that GLM-5 achieved a 42.99% return ($14,299.40) on the trading platform Kalshi, surpassing the human benchmark ($12,353.45), making it the only leading AI model. The platform, developed by Arcada Labs, conducts predictive trading in markets such as weather and cryptocurrency events. GLM-5 has executed 98 trades with a Sharpe ratio of 0.17.

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