From 99% Surge to 85% Plunge — What the IRYS Launch Rollercoaster Teaches Us

Introduction to the IRYS and Irys projects

IRYS is the native token issued by the Irys public chain. Irys itself is a “programmable data chain” with the goal of integrating blockchain data storage and smart contract execution within the same architecture — through the built-in virtual machine (IrysVM), allowing on-chain data to be persistently stored and simultaneously read and processed in real-time, providing infrastructure support for data-intensive applications.

This innovative positioning gives Irys a significant differential advantage among numerous new chains - if its ecosystem is truly activated, it could potentially become an important foundation for data-intensive applications such as Web3 / Web3-AI.

Token allocation and economic model

According to the official statement, the total supply of IRYS is 10 billion tokens, with a circulation ratio of 20%. The remaining 80% of the tokens are allocated to ecology, the foundation, airdrop incentives, liquidity partners, team/advisors, and investors.

From a structural perspective: the team’s and investors’ tokens are locked, with ecological incentives + airdrops accounting for a certain proportion. In addition, the network has a 2% annual reward for validators and introduces a destruction mechanism in execution and storage fees—these designs theoretically balance incentives and deflation, which is beneficial for building long-term value.

This allocation and mechanism setup provides IRYS with a relatively reasonable foundation for supply and demand, assuming that the ecosystem can be implemented and supports the token.

Full record of rise and fall on the line

IRYS will be launched on November 25, 2025. Within just 24 hours of its first day, the token rapidly rose nearly 99% from its starting price, reaching a price of about $0.047–0.048.

However, with the opening of the first trade, market sentiment quickly reversed. Some platforms reported that IRYS once reached about $0.11 at the opening, but then it experienced a big dump of about 85%–86%, with the price dropping to around $0.0135.

For users who obtained 1200 tokens through airdrops, the theoretical earnings dropped from over $130 to around $16 in just a few hours — this dramatic fall is a typical portrayal of new coin risks.

Interpretation of Charts and On-Chain Data

According to the analysis of on-chain and chart data after the launch of Irys, the early performance of IRYS showed high volatility and low liquidity. The analysis indicates that although there were buy orders that temporarily stabilized the price above the volume-weighted average price (VWAP), the volume bars and money flow indicators (such as OBV) did not move upward synchronously— in other words, much of the rise may just be “superficially hot,” lacking real and sustained capital inflow.

In the 4-hour chart, market analysis identifies $0.032, $0.039, and $0.042 as short-term resistance levels; if OBV and total volume support are insufficient, there is a possibility of a fall to support levels of $0.024, or even $0.018 and $0.014.

This means that unless a true support triangle of “liquidity + capital flow + market confidence” is formed, it will be difficult for IRYS to maintain its high point.

Comparing common trends of new coins — Is IRYS special or common?

In fact, it is not the first time that a new coin has risen sharply and then experienced a big dump after launching. Low circulation, airdrop mechanisms, speculative expectations, and weak liquidity are common short-term risks for many new projects. From this perspective, the performance of IRYS is not particularly rare.

However, Irys’s “programmable data chain + execution layer” setup gives it more “project value” than ordinary token trading projects. If its technology and ecosystem are truly implemented, it may not just be a “short-term speculative asset,” but rather an infrastructure aimed at future data + blockchain + Web3 / Web3-AI — this is its relatively unique and potential aspect.

Therefore, rather than just treating IRYS as a “speculative coin”, it is more worthwhile to pay attention to the structure behind it and the potential for long-term value.