⚡ Bulls and Bears Enter Critical Zone

As the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision meeting enters the final countdown, Bitcoin has rapidly retreated after touching a high of 75,998 USD and is currently consolidating near 74,155 USD before making a directional choice. The 4-hour MACD shows a clear death cross signal, hourly moving averages are in a bearish alignment, and short-term pullback pressure is significant.

📊 Bitcoin Technical Analysis (Updated to 74,155 USD)

On the daily level, the battle continues around the 60-day moving average (approximately 73,734 USD). RSI at 60 shows momentum that is neutral to slightly strong but not overbought. However, the 4-hour MACD death cross continues to diverge, and the 1-hour price has broken below all short-term moving averages, with bearish momentum being released.

Upper Resistance: 74,500-75,000 USD (short-term moving average pressure zone, rebound shorting area)
Lower Support: 73,150-73,000 USD (50% Fibonacci retracement and MA20 support band)

⚡ Ethereum Technical Analysis

Ethereum is moving in sync with Bitcoin's pullback and faces MACD death cross pressure on the 4-hour chart, but daily structure remains stronger than BTC with dense moving average support below.

Upper Resistance: 2,360-2,380 USD
Lower Support: 2,250-2,220 USD

📈 Intraday Short-Cycle Strategy Update

Bitcoin Strategy

Primary Short: Take light short positions in the 74,500-74,800 USD rebound zone, stop loss above 75,300 USD, target 73,200-73,000 USD
Secondary Long: If pullback to 73,000-73,150 USD stabilizes, consider short long, stop loss at 72,500 USD, target 74,200 USD

Ethereum Strategy

Primary Short: Take light short positions in the 2,340-2,360 USD rebound zone, stop loss at 2,400 USD, target 2,240-2,260 USD
Secondary Long: If pullback to 2,220-2,240 USD stabilizes, consider short long, stop loss at 2,180 USD, target 2,320 USD

Risk Reminder: Tonight's Federal Reserve decision is the biggest variable. It is recommended to hold light positions or wait on the sidelines before data release, with strict stop losses in place.

What do you think—after tonight's rate decision announcement, will the market probe support first and then rebound, or directly launch an upside attack? We welcome your insights in the comments section!