March 18 Bitcoin Futures Trading Strategy

The 15-minute timeframe is dominated by a bearish trend; operations focus on shorting on bounces

Operation Recommendation: Can short in the 73,900–74,100 range, targeting 73,000 →72,700

Important ⚠️ Alert to BTC's risk of significant subsequent decline

BTC's daily chart closed with a small bearish candle with an upper wick, failing to effectively hold above 74,500, showing a pattern of surge and pullback. This formation is likely a false breakout and bull trap behavior.

From the 4-hour level observation, bullish momentum continues to weaken: price rebounded from 60,000 all the way to 76,000, but bullish strength gradually decreased, indicating that the upside momentum has been exhausted and market confidence is clearly insufficient.

Additionally, tomorrow (the 19th) will see the Federal Reserve FOMC meeting. Current expectations show a 0% probability of rate cuts in the next three months, coupled with rising oil prices and resurging inflation, the macro outlook is overall bearish.

Currently BTC's rebound has touched the 76,000 level. Combining technical and macro factors for comprehensive analysis:
BTC's current rebound is likely to top out near 76,000, which will probably become a key pivot point for the medium-term downtrend.

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