U.S. intelligence agencies say Iran's regime remains stable.

According to informed sources, U.S. intelligence agencies recently assessed that after entering the third week of U.S. and Israeli strikes on Iran, the Iranian regime has been weakened but has become more hardline. Currently, the Iranian regime remains stable, with no possibility of change.

Two informed sources revealed that U.S. intelligence agencies believe that since the outbreak of the U.S.-Israel-Iran conflict, the Iranian regime has withstood pressure and, supported by the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps, has become more resolute. Western officials and analysts studying Iran believe there are no obvious cracks or signs of personnel defection within the Iranian leadership, and a regime change is unlikely in the short term.

△Iranian Foreign Minister Amir Abdollahian

Meanwhile, the costs of this war continue to rise: the U.S. has spent at least $12 billion so far, 13 U.S. soldiers have died, and shipping through the Strait of Hormuz has sharply decreased, causing oil supply tensions.

On February 28, the U.S. and Israel launched a military strike against Iran, prompting Iran to retaliate against Israeli targets and U.S. military bases in the Middle East. U.S. allies in the region are angry and worried about becoming targets of Iran’s retaliation. A senior official from the Gulf Arab states said, “They (the U.S.) started this war for Israel, but left us to face the attack alone.”

Trump expressed surprise on the 16th at the scope of Iran’s retaliation. He claimed, “No one expected this; we are shocked… they retaliated.”

It is reported that Trump received a “very alarming briefing” from intelligence agencies, and before approving joint attacks with Israel, he was already informed that the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps might retaliate. An insider said, “There was a clear warning in advance,” and Trump was aware of it long before.

Richard Nephew, a scholar at Columbia University and a former senior advisor on Iran policy under the Biden and Obama administrations, said that the war has not frightened the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps; “in fact, it may have strengthened their resolve.”

On the 8th, an Iranian expert panel announced the selection of Mahmoud Ahmadinejad’s son, Mojtaba Ahmadinejad, as the new Supreme Leader. Since then, Trump has repeatedly changed his statements about the targets of military action, from inciting regime change in Iran to claiming to destroy Iran’s navy, nuclear program, ballistic missiles, and regional “proxy forces,” then focusing on Iran’s