That supercycle talk is circulating again, and honestly, it should set off some alarm bells.

Every bull run cycle, the narrative shifts. Suddenly everyone's convinced this time is different—that we're not just in a regular market rally, but a genuine "supercycle" where traditional price dynamics don't apply. Spoiler: they usually do.

When you hear this term gaining traction, it typically signals a few things. First, retail enthusiasm is climbing. Second, leverage and risk appetite are creeping back into the market. Third—and this is crucial—exits are becoming harder to time.

The danger isn't in the supercycle concept itself. It's in what happens when traders stop thinking critically and just ride the narrative. Position sizes balloon, risk management gets abandoned, and FOMO drowns out caution.

If you're trading or investing right now, maybe keep this in mind: the best trades aren't the ones that follow the loudest narrative. They're the ones where you understand your entry, your exit, and exactly how much you can afford to lose. Narrative shifts come and go. Your capital preservation strategy shouldn't.