#美国贸易赤字状况 The end of the year is here, big players are packing up and preparing to leave the country to relax, while retail investors are still desperately losing money in the market.

There are more and more people stumbling in the crypto world, but actually most of it isn’t because they misjudged the direction, but because their operation rhythm is a mess.

Recently, a friend came to me complaining. His funds weren’t abundant to begin with, yet he kept chasing hot topics every day—whenever there was a slight movement, he would rush in, and when it retraced slightly, he would cut his position. After several rounds of this, his account’s bloodline was getting shorter and shorter, and he was almost about to break down.

He asked me: Is there any reliable strategy?

I told him straightforwardly: Yes, there is, but right now what you lack most isn’t the method, it’s the discipline.

Later, I shared with him a simple logic I’ve summarized from my years of experience in the market and the lessons I’ve learned. He followed it exactly, and as a result, his trading gradually stabilized, and he was able to withstand the expected pullbacks.

This method isn’t particularly clever; it’s just a few straightforward rules:

**First, don’t touch coins that have already risen.** When everyone in the network is talking about a certain coin, it’s almost certainly in the distribution phase. The real opportunity? Usually appears during quiet or panic moments.

**Second, never fully deploy your chips at once.** Even if your capital is limited, you should at least keep three-tenths in stablecoins. Without a backup plan, when the market adjusts, you’ll just be staring blankly, with no money left to add positions.

**Third, never let your positions get out of control.** Many people have actually made quite a bit of profit, but a single full-position reverse operation can wipe out all previous gains. Position management is the bottom line for surviving long in the market.

For short-term trading, there are a few key points to remember:

- Don’t rush during sideways trading; wait until the direction is clear, watch more, act less
- Panic zones after sharp drops are often the starting points for rebounds
- Be cautious during consolidation after a big rise; taking profits when the time is right is the safest approach
- When building a position, enter in stages; never gamble everything on one shot

This set of rules may sound simple, but the goal is clear: to stay alive steadily. Only by surviving round after round of market cycles can you have the confidence to talk about accumulation and turning things around.

If you’re stuck in the vicious cycle of “chasing gains and selling at a loss, standing still,” it’s better to calm down first and clarify your thinking with me. This stage is actually a window for gradually stopping the bleeding and making steady progress.

$BTC $SOL