2026-01-03 07:23:52

Has the recent Ethereum market looked quite "comfortable"? There are resistance levels above, support levels below, and clear boundaries for volatility—feeling like any operation could be profitable? Hold on, don’t be fooled by this illusion. After years in the crypto market, I’ve seen too many people get liquidated instantly in seemingly safe sideways markets. Now, the key signals are becoming more and more obvious: a misstep can easily trigger a stop-loss in this environment.

Let’s start by analyzing the market structure. From the daily chart, Ethereum is a typical "consolidation with oscillation"—using time to accumulate upward momentum. I’ve compiled the recent 20 days of trading volume and open interest data and found an interesting pattern: every time the price hits the support below, trading volume suddenly spikes, clearly indicating big funds ambushing for a bottom; but once it rebounds to the resistance above, volume immediately shrinks, showing strong selling pressure and that the bulls’ strength isn’t enough for a breakout.

This creates the current stalemate. There are spot buy orders supporting the price below, so a sharp drop is unlikely; but the lack of upward momentum above makes a direct rally difficult. Many traders see this pattern and start to act recklessly—some chase longs aggressively at resistance, others chase shorts at support—this is the first trap, I call it the "Oscillation Trap of chasing highs and lows."

The essence of a sideways market is "buy low and sell high," not blindly chasing the trend. If you go against the rhythm, no matter how much capital you have, you’ll get repeatedly cut. The second trap is even harder to spot: you think you see the support and resistance clearly, but in reality, these key levels can be broken at any moment by big funds—this is something I must remind everyone.

ETH1,14%

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SeeYouInFourYears

· 21h ago

That kind of "steady profit" illusion again... Honestly, I've seen too many people get caught by this kind of rhetoric. --- Listening to "buy low, sell high" sounds simple, but it's deadly to actually do. --- Support and resistance are easily shattered by big funds; your stop-loss can't hold at all. --- Consolidation? It looks to me like a feast prepared for the big players. --- The repeated tricks of cutting leeks, each time with a different excuse. --- The moment your key level gets broken... your stop-loss order has already flown away. --- Having enough capital to play the oscillation? Ha, you'll lose even faster. --- Expanding volume to catch the bottom, shrinking to sell off... I've heard this kind of rhetoric hundreds of times. --- Seemingly safe market conditions are the easiest to make wrong decisions in, that's for sure.

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StablecoinGuardian

· 21h ago

Here we go again with this support and resistance rhetoric. I just want to ask how many people can really make money by surviving the volatility? Honestly, it's just big funds shaking out the market, and us retail investors are the ones getting cut. Selling high and buying low sounds easy, but in practice, one gap can ruin everything. As for this wave of Ethereum, I think uh, it's better to stay with stablecoins and get a good night's sleep.

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IronHeadMiner

· 21h ago

It's the same old story. Once you see clearly that support and resistance levels are just big funds breaking through, you'll understand only after getting cut. --- Talking about selling high and buying low sounds easy, but when you actually trade and the rhythm is off, you'll get cut. I've seen too many people die here. --- Is it just consolidation? I think it's more like paving the way for liquidation. Don't be fooled by the trading volume. --- Support levels are useless. When big funds dump, it's like paper—I've experienced it firsthand. --- This wave of market movement is just fishing. Positions that seem safe are often the most dangerous. I've paid enough tuition. --- Fluctuations in trading volume? That's just a smokescreen. When it matters, it still has to break. --- Getting liquidated is just one step away from huge profits. If the rhythm is off, it will break through the stop-loss directly—I've done it countless times. --- Two words now—don't touch it. Wait for confirmation signals before acting.

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OfflineValidator

· 21h ago

The most comfortable-looking market is the easiest to get wiped out in. I've fallen for this before. Short covering? Hold on, big funds might be waiting for you to chase. It's both volatile and consolidating, basically just harvesting retail traders' stop-losses. Don't overcomplicate it. Buying the dip and selling high sounds simple, but in practice, you're just getting repeatedly slapped in the face. Let's wait until a breakout. Resistance and support levels? Ha, in front of big funds, they're just paper-thin. Anyone who believes that has already been liquidated. In this wave of market, I choose to go with the flow. If you can't see through it, don't make reckless moves. Capital preservation is the key. Increasing volume to catch the bottom? Who knows if it's just a bait from the main players. I don't buy it.

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StableBoi

· 21h ago

Once again, it's the same pattern. I feel stable just by drawing support and resistance levels, but it’s only when I get swept to stop-loss that I realize what impermanence really means. --- Big funds ambushing for a bottom are very perceptive. Shrinking volume is a sign of a top-out escape. This logic is solid. --- Talking about selling high and buying low is easy, but many people get their rhythm messed up when actually trading. I’ve paid my tuition plenty of times. --- It feels like the market is just grinding people down now. I can’t predict what big funds want to do, so I might as well just watch and wait. --- Breaking through support levels is truly unpredictable. The chart is the most deceptive thing here. --- Ethereum is still stuck in a stalemate. It’s better to wait for a clear breakout signal before acting, to avoid getting shaken out and taking losses. --- Always trusting support levels to hold, only to get broken through every time—that’s how this market loves to play tricks on people. --- The observation that shrinking volume means no strength to go long is spot on. It shows the main players are still hesitating. --- Instead of constantly buying high and selling low, getting chopped up in the process, it’s better to wait for a clear trend before entering. --- The market that looks safest is the most dangerous. I really believe that now.

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