#比特币价格预测 Seeing Hayes talk about Bitcoin again, this time with the keywords "RMP is just printing money" and "peak in March." I have to admit, I’ve heard enough of these macro forecasts—every time, a big V gives specific price levels and timelines, but the market never follows the script.

Where's the problem? Hayes's logical chain is: RMP understood as QE → risk assets revaluation → Bitcoin reaches 124K → 200K. It sounds plausible, but there's a fatal assumption here—"the market generally believes." The reality is, the market is always more complex than you imagine, and cognitive disagreements are often bigger than you think.

What I care more about is the statement "a correction after the March peak but staying above 124K." That sounds like leaving an escape route—able to explain either rise or fall. The real risk isn't in the prediction itself, but in how many people will treat this as an inevitable trend and go all-in. I've seen too many retail investors go all-in just because "authoritative figures said so," only to get completely harvested.

If you're paying attention to this direction, instead of waiting for the March myth, better ask yourself now: how deep is your understanding of Bitcoin itself? Can you withstand the psychological shock of dropping from 200K back to 120K? Without solid fundamentals, even the best predictions are just gambling. History has shown that those who last the longest are never the ones following the crowd.