The market has been sideways for two months, and tonight's Federal Reserve FOMC minutes could change the game.

Why has BTC been fluctuating between 85,000 and 95,000? The core reason is simple— the market is waiting to see what the Federal Reserve will say. The market signals have already leaked out, and the tone of this minutes may be hawkish, emphasizing that interest rate hikes might still need to be more aggressive. In the short term, this will undoubtedly put pressure on risk assets.

Two strategic approaches are worth remembering:

**Short-term**: If the minutes indeed reveal a hawkish stance, risk assets will experience overall volatility. BTC's key support is in the range of 83,821 to 86,284. Once broken, the next target is around 80,641. High-leverage traders should prepare in advance; tonight's volatility will definitely be significant.

**Long-term**: Recently, an interesting phenomenon—smart money has significantly reduced the amount of coins transferred to exchanges in December. What are they waiting for? They might really be waiting for a "golden dip." If the market panics and a bottom is formed, those who buy in stages will have opportunities. Focus on projects with genuine ecosystems, rather than following hype and speculation.

After tonight, the sideways trend will be broken. Whether it's a real drop or a false alarm, the script will soon become clear.