Not an ETF, but looks like one: Is Metaplanet copying the "Bitcoin Treasury Model"?

Recently, Metaplanet has made another large purchase of Bitcoin. According to disclosed information, Metaplanet bought 4,279 BTC at an average price of $104,679, totaling approximately $448 million.

Metaplanet and bitcoin

As of now, Metaplanet holds a total of 35,102 BTC, with a total cost basis of about $3.08 billion, and an average purchase price of $102,246. Against the backdrop of Bitcoin’s recent decline, its unrealized paper loss has exceeded $504 million.

Although this company is not a Bitcoin ETF, its behavior is increasingly resembling a “quasi ETF.”

Who is Metaplanet?

A publicly listed company, but only doing one thing

Metaplanet is a Japanese publicly listed company that was not originally from the crypto industry. But since explicitly adopting Bitcoin as a core asset allocation, its business model has undergone a fundamental change.

The current market perception of Metaplanet is no longer that of a traditional enterprise, but rather: a Bitcoin asset vehicle wrapped in a publicly listed company structure.

How is it similar to an ETF?

From a capital logic perspective, Metaplanet shares several high overlaps with ETFs:

First, a single core asset, almost entirely betting on BTC Second, stock performance highly dependent on Bitcoin price Third, serving as a tool for some funds to “indirectly allocate Bitcoin”

For funds that cannot or do not want to buy ETFs or spot BTC directly, Metaplanet offers a quasi-ETF alternative.


Why does the market still pay attention to Metaplanet in the ETF era?

ETFs provide liquidity, Metaplanet provides “leverage narrative”

The advantages of Bitcoin spot ETFs (such as IBIT, FBTC) are: Transparency High liquidity Clear risk structure

But what makes Metaplanet attractive is another point: A more aggressive Beta exposure

Simply put:

ETFs are more like “index tools” Metaplanet is more like “an active Bitcoin position”

When Bitcoin rises, the stock price of Metaplanet often amplifies market reactions; but conversely, during downturns, risks are also magnified.

What does a current unrealized loss of $500 million indicate?

Continually adding at high levels—faith or risk?

Data shows that Metaplanet’s average cost basis has already exceeded $100,000, and at the current price range, it is clearly in a floating loss. This reveals two important signals:

First, management is extremely confident in Bitcoin’s medium- to long-term trend Second, the company has deeply tied its fate to BTC

This differs from the passive holding logic of ETFs and is closer to a form of corporate long-term bet.

But the reality is also clear:

ETFs can withstand drawdowns Public companies face triple pressures from shareholders, finances, and the market

Who is more suitable for ordinary investors—ETF or Metaplanet?

From a risk structure perspective, the answer is quite clear.

If you pursue: Stability High liquidity Clear risk boundaries

Then Bitcoin ETFs remain the more mainstream choice.

Metaplanet, on the other hand, is more suitable for: Understanding corporate financial structures Accepting high volatility Optimistic about Bitcoin’s long-term trend among aggressive investors

It’s not an ETF, but it is becoming one of the most aggressive Bitcoin risk expressions outside of ETFs.

Summary: ETFs are the entry point, Metaplanet is the amplifier

Metaplanet’s continuous accumulation again demonstrates one thing: After ETFs have opened the door for Bitcoin to traditional finance, the market is beginning to seek more elastic expressions.

ETFs provide the “basic allocation,” While companies like Metaplanet are becoming amplifiers of bullish sentiment.

Just remember one thing: ETFs bear the price volatility, while Metaplanet bears the cycle’s success or failure.

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