Prediction markets seem to hit a wall when it comes to real-world unpredictability. Sure, they promise accurate price discovery and crowdsourced forecasting, but practical limitations keep emerging. Black swan events, market manipulation, and the inherent difficulty of betting on truly unknown outcomes show that even decentralized prediction systems have their blind spots. Worth watching how the space evolves.
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SchrodingerWallet
· 4h ago
Black swans never play by the rules; no matter how the market is diversified, they can't be avoided.
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OnChainArchaeologist
· 4h ago
Predicting the market in the face of black swans is like a paper tiger; frankly, it's still impossible to truly hedge against uncertainty.
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SleepyArbCat
· 4h ago
When the black swan arrives, the market becomes awkward to predict. What about the promised decentralized system... still unable to escape being exploited for profit.
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PositionPhobia
· 4h ago
When a black swan arrives, predicting the market is a joke; even decentralization can't save it.
Prediction markets seem to hit a wall when it comes to real-world unpredictability. Sure, they promise accurate price discovery and crowdsourced forecasting, but practical limitations keep emerging. Black swan events, market manipulation, and the inherent difficulty of betting on truly unknown outcomes show that even decentralized prediction systems have their blind spots. Worth watching how the space evolves.