Prediction markets, as high-risk and high-reward trading arenas, attract a large number of participants flocking in. Many people start placing orders before truly understanding the rules of the game. The core issue here is— the profit curve of binary options is completely different from the linear price fluctuations of the spot market, and risk perception needs to be recalibrated entirely.

For ordinary traders, executing stop-loss orders becomes significantly more difficult. The more volatile the market, the easier it is for losers to lose control psychologically. But from another perspective, it is precisely this disorder and inefficiency that create opportunities for prepared participants.

Interestingly, this current situation actually serves as a new driving force for industry professionals. The knowledge accumulation in the field of quantitative trading has been relatively mature, lacking fresh sharing motivation. However, the rapid evolution of prediction markets is rewriting the rules, much like stepping into an underdeveloped territory—learning opportunities are everywhere. Those who can adapt to this new logic faster will gain a first-mover advantage.