2025-12-29 10:44:18

When exactly is the TGE for Lighter coming? Recently, this question has sparked quite a bit of discussion in the trading community. Some leading exchanges and Hyperliquid's pre-market have already opened related trading pairs, and data from major prediction markets speak volumes —> the NO option accounts for over 95% with >6B and >8B votes.

To be honest, many participants may not have carefully studied the settlement rules of the prediction markets. Here's a key detail: if the project does not initiate the TGE before January 1, 2026, the system will settle all bets as NO. What does this mean? The window for participants to place bets is effectively limited.

It seems many are pondering a question — is the team behind Lighter leveraging the popularity of prediction markets to build hype, or are they genuinely preparing for a token launch? The market's reaction seems to have already provided an answer, but ultimately, we still need to wait for official confirmation.

View Original

This page may contain third-party content, which is provided for information purposes only (not representations/warranties) and should not be considered as an endorsement of its views by Gate, nor as financial or professional advice. See Disclaimer for details.

8 Likes

Reward
8
3
Repost
Share

Comment

0/400

NotFinancialAdvice

· 11h ago

Damn, the detailed rules of this prediction market are really easy to get tripped up on. If the market can't be predicted, then we'll just wait and see. Is it just hype again or genuine preparation? Let's see what the team does next.

View OriginalReply0

MissedTheBoat

· 11h ago

Wait, a 95% NO ratio? That indicates the market has already passed the death sentence. --- Once again, it's the same old prediction market trick, with settlement rules tightly locked down. Who dares to bet then? --- Is the Lighter team genuinely preparing or just riding the hype to cut the leeks? Just look at the trading pairs and their popularity—it's pretty obvious. --- The line drawn at January 1, 2026, is perfect, leaving plenty of time to fool people. --- The leading exchanges have already launched trading pairs, yet the NO rate is still 95%. That contrast is a bit ironic. --- Honestly, it all comes down to whether the team is trustworthy. When the official announcement comes out is the real key.

View OriginalReply0

SelfCustodyBro

· 11h ago

Haha, there are so many tricks in this game. Basically, the team is just teasing everyone. Lighter, I can't tell if this is really in preparation or just riding the hype, but 95% of the NO options are truly absolute. By the way, why are the settlement rules so competitive, locking people's time windows? Might as well forget about TGE. The market prediction data is so obvious, but the team still hasn't made any moves. It's a bit suspicious. Wait, if they really issue tokens, why are they still hesitating? It’s like playing a riddle. I've seen this kind of trick many times before in Hyperliquid's pre-market, and half of them ended up failing. Rather than guessing, it's better to wait for the official announcement. Anyway, getting anxious won't change anything.

View OriginalReply0