2025-12-24 16:21:46

Recently observing the trends of Big Pie and Auntie, the volatility has been within reasonable expectations. However, the entire market is currently in a recovery phase, with liquidity withdrawal being quite evident. Especially around Christmas, trading liquidity will significantly decrease, and the market is prone to either decline or remain in a prolonged oscillation.

Looking at opportunities in 2026, the expectation of Federal Reserve rate cuts still exists, and by then, the market should present new speculative opportunities.

Specifically for Big Pie, the 84,000 level is a key support line. If it falls below this point, the next support levels are expected at 75,000 or 70,000. Holding above 84,000 still offers a chance for continued rebound and oscillation in this range. In December, Big Pie is expected to fluctuate between 84,000 and 92,000, making sudden surges or drops unlikely. Under the current market environment, the probability of success is higher for short positions at relatively high levels and long positions at lower levels. Specifically, short-term shorts can be positioned around 88,500, with support below at 85,000.

Auntie’s trend generally follows Big Pie, with short entry points around 2,970, and support levels at 2,870 and 2,780 below.

Now, let's look at a few smaller coins. The support for AT is at 0.091 or 0.09; if broken, stop-loss should be executed. If support holds, it might be worth considering a long position. For ACT, recent signs of institutional involvement are quite clear, warranting ongoing attention. PLAY’s support level is at 0.045, with resistance at 0.0555, and it’s trading within this range. LAB has already gained 50% profit, so it’s advisable to withdraw the principal to lock in gains.

To judge whether small coins are worth trading, the key is whether they have a “pinch” (a decisive reversal) during their first correction. A pinched bottom indicates support, and it might be a good time to enter. However, small coins tend to be highly volatile, so caution is essential—avoid chasing highs or over-leveraging, and risk control is the most important.

ETH-0.78%

AT13.92%

ACT7.39%

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BanklessAtHeart

· 5h ago

Liquidity will evaporate before Christmas. This wave really needs to defend 84,000; if broken, it's time to run. During this period, small coins should watch for consolidation; otherwise, you'll be the bag holder. Since LAB has already gained 50%, it's better to withdraw the principal first. Greed doesn't lead to a good outcome. It feels like you can try shorting at 88,500, but make sure to set a tight stop-loss—don't rely on luck.

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RuntimeError

· 5h ago

Breaking or not breaking this level at 84000 is really crucial, it feels like December will be a frustrating month. With such poor liquidity, how dare you still hold heavy positions? I see many people are trapped. Is ACT being manipulated by big players? Then I need to keep a close eye on it. Small coins still need to be played cautiously. LAB directly withdraws principal to lock in profits, this move is pretty good, better than those greedy ones. Waiting for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates in 2026? Feels like we’ll have to wait a long time. The issue of closing positions is correct; if small coins rebound without support, you really need to run immediately. I'm considering trying the short at 88500, but I need to be mentally prepared for stop-loss. During liquidity withdrawal, don’t mess around; choppy markets are the most annoying. The mistress is riding the trend of Bitcoin, looking short at 2970 is somewhat interesting. Small coins are so volatile, one wrong move could lead to liquidation, so stay cautious.

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ETHmaxi_NoFilter

· 5h ago

It's indeed wise to be cautious during this period before Christmas. Where has all the liquidity gone? Air coins are flying everywhere. If you can't hold 84,000, you really need to run; the 75,000 threshold isn't necessarily stable. For small coins, the detail of closing positions is very important, but honestly, chasing these things is just gambling on the mood of the market maker. If LAB makes a profit, just run—there's nothing wrong with that, but unfortunately, I didn't get on the train. A Fed rate cut in 2026? Probably just another overhyped expectation.

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SybilSlayer

· 5h ago

Liquidity will be pulled out before Christmas Eve; this wave is indeed prone to a slow decline. Wait, can 84000 really hold? It feels a bit uncertain. I'm also watching ACT; with such obvious moves by the whales, I'm hesitant to chase. The principal of LAB must be withdrawn; greed is the beginning of losses. Small-cap coins still depend on a clear bottom; without support levels, I won't touch them. The interest rate cut opportunity in 2026 is worth looking forward to, but for now, we need to stay steady.

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SelfMadeRuggee

· 5h ago

Christmas liquidity has collapsed. This period is indeed prone to downward dips. If 84,000 breaks, it will be troublesome. ACT's recent market maker moves are too obvious; we need to keep a close eye on it. For small coins, tightening positions is the most important. Chasing highs will definitely lead to death, brother. LAB has gained 50%, still not locking in? Withdraw your principal first, old brother. Short at 88,500 is a good position; just worried about a quick reverse smash. Waiting for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates in 2026 is the real opportunity. If AT breaks 0.09, cut losses immediately; don’t hesitate. Small coins are so volatile; risk control should always come first.

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GweiTooHigh

· 5h ago

84,000 is the hurdle that must be held, otherwise dropping directly to 75k won't be impressive anymore. --- The mistress follows the trend guy, all the routines are the same, nothing new. --- I also see the signs of ACT entering the market, wait a bit longer before jumping in to be safe. --- The logic of tightening small coins is sound, but people with itchy hands simply can't control themselves. --- Wait a moment, isn't the period of liquidity exhaustion during Christmas actually a good opportunity for layout? --- Withdrawing principal from LAB is the right move, greed always leads to losses in the end. --- 88500 short? Feels a bit rushed, wait and see the reaction. --- The whole December is just about market turbulence, don't expect to get rich overnight. --- The risk of small coins is so high, I think I'll just watch, don't tinker. --- The expectation of interest rate cuts in 2026 is here, now is the time to think about long-term layout.

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GateUser-40edb63b

· 5h ago

If I can't hold 84,000, I'll liquidate everything. The liquidity withdrawal during Christmas is really annoying.

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