#ETH走势分析 Liquidity shift—the market has already started pricing it in.
On-chain data from the past two weeks tells the story clearly—BTC whales have accumulated over 80,000 coins, and exchange reserves have dropped to a five-year low. This collective move to lock up coins signals that smart money is betting on the direction.
If you look back at October 2019, the on-chain characteristics right before the Fed's policy pivot were almost identical to now. What happened next? In March 2020, once the liquidity floodgates opened, the crypto market entered its wildest bull run.
I've reiterated this point since last November: in this market, liquidity is the most solid technical indicator. Now that the Fed's stance is clear, and with potential policy shifts from a new administration next year, this isn't just a rebound—it's more like a new starting point for asset repricing driven by liquidity.
As for specific moves? Ignore short-term volatility, keep holding your core BTC and $ETH positions. For outsized returns, look for opportunities in high-volatility ecosystems like Solana and Ton.
When a macro inflection point appears, “doing nothing” can actually be the most aggressive strategy. Follow the logic, don't let emotions sway you.
The bull market is already underway—most people are just waiting for the candlestick chart to give a signal.
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StablecoinArbitrageur
· 20h ago
actually, the whale accumulation metrics here are interesting but you're missing the exchange reserve velocity calculations. the correlation coefficient between CEX outflows and subsequent price movements is nowhere near as clean as you're implying. statistically speaking, n=1 historical parallel (2019 fed pivot) isn't exactly a robust dataset for your thesis.
Reply0
BottomMisser
· 12-08 06:02
Whales are accumulating, and coins on exchanges are gone. I've seen this pattern before... That's how it started in 2019 as well. Are we really going to see a repeat now?
View OriginalReply0
FlashLoanKing
· 12-08 05:44
80,000 BTC swept in, exchange reserves hit a five-year low... Is it really different this time?
View OriginalReply0
HodlAndChill
· 12-08 05:41
I've been hearing about the liquidity inflection point logic for over a year now, but this time the data is indeed a bit unusual... 80,000 BTC swept in, exchange reserves at a five-year low—this is no small matter.
View OriginalReply0
SchrodingerWallet
· 12-08 05:40
80,000 BTC is really scary; this time it really seems different.
#ETH走势分析 Liquidity shift—the market has already started pricing it in.
On-chain data from the past two weeks tells the story clearly—BTC whales have accumulated over 80,000 coins, and exchange reserves have dropped to a five-year low. This collective move to lock up coins signals that smart money is betting on the direction.
If you look back at October 2019, the on-chain characteristics right before the Fed's policy pivot were almost identical to now. What happened next? In March 2020, once the liquidity floodgates opened, the crypto market entered its wildest bull run.
I've reiterated this point since last November: in this market, liquidity is the most solid technical indicator. Now that the Fed's stance is clear, and with potential policy shifts from a new administration next year, this isn't just a rebound—it's more like a new starting point for asset repricing driven by liquidity.
As for specific moves? Ignore short-term volatility, keep holding your core BTC and $ETH positions. For outsized returns, look for opportunities in high-volatility ecosystems like Solana and Ton.
When a macro inflection point appears, “doing nothing” can actually be the most aggressive strategy. Follow the logic, don't let emotions sway you.
The bull market is already underway—most people are just waiting for the candlestick chart to give a signal.