2月11日消息,Galaxy首席执行官Mike Novogratz在纽约举行的CNBC数字金融论坛上表示,随着更多风险偏好较低的机构资金进入,加密货币依赖高倍收益的“投机时代”可能正在走向尾声,行业正向更成熟的金融形态演变。
Mike Novogratz指出,散户进入加密市场往往追求数倍甚至数十倍回报,而机构投资者则更看重稳定性和风险控制。这种参与者结构的变化,意味着超额收益的空间正在被压缩。他回顾了2022年FTX崩盘带来的冲击,当时比特币从69,000美元高位下跌约78%,最低触及15,700美元,市场一度陷入信任危机。
他还提到,10月10日出现的杠杆集中释放事件,在缺乏明确催化因素的情况下,加剧了资金外流与抛售压力。“你会四处张望,却很难找到真正的原因,”他说。对他而言,加密市场本质是一种“叙事驱动型资产”,当大量资金撤离,信心与故事都需要时间重建。
在谈到未来方向时,Mike Novogratz认为,代币化的现实世界资产将成为新的增长引擎。相比高风险投机,这类资产更接近传统金融回报模式,但能借助区块链技术提升效率与透明度。他强调,最终主导市场的将是与现实经济紧密相连的资产。
Chainlink联合创始人Sergey Nazarov也表达了相似观点,称RWA的总体价值有望超过传统加密资产,并推动行业发生结构性转变。
与此同时,Lightspark联合创始人兼首席执行官David Marcus表示,比特币持有者结构正在变化,更多通过网络接入金融体系的新用户正在加入。但他认为,那些长期将比特币视为对冲工具的持有者,仍具备较强的抗风险能力。
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