莱特币（Litecoin，LTC）价格跌至四个多月以来的低点，过去一周回落近12%，市场情绪依旧偏谨慎。但与价格形成反差的是，其链上使用率与真实需求却在持续抬升，显示这条老牌公链仍保持稳定生命力。
从技术面看，LTC在日线级别一度下探至去年10月以来的低位，虽出现短线反弹，但仍运行在关键均线下方。RSI维持在弱势区间，MACD处于负值区域，表明下行动能尚未完全释放。布林带下轨频繁被触及，说明短期波动仍在放大。
不过，基本面并未同步走弱。由日本SBI控股支持的平台SBI VC Trade，近期已将LTC纳入其加密资产借贷服务体系，使其与BTC、ETH、XRP等主流资产处于同一产品序列。这一举措，释放出机构层面对莱特币流动性与长期可用性的认可。
在支付场景中，LTC的存在感同样提升。CoinGate统计显示，今年1月莱特币已成为第三大最常用的支付加密资产，占交易总量的17.7%，高于去年12月的16.4%，仅次于比特币与美元稳定币USDC。这表明在跨境结算、小额转账等领域，LTC仍具备成本与速度优势。
同时，莱特币的隐私扩展层MWEB活跃度创下新高，过去一个月锁定余额持续攀升，反映用户对隐私支付需求的增强。即便价格承压，网络使用数据却呈现“逆周期”增长。
当价格下行与真实使用同步背离，往往意味着市场情绪与资产价值正在错位。对于关注莱特币价格走势、LTC支付应用以及链上活跃度的投资者而言，这种结构性变化，或许比短期波动更值得持续跟踪。
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