PANews 1月11日消息,加密分析师 Willy Woo 发文称看好比特币在 1 月下旬至 2 月期间的表现,但目前看空 2026 年。
Willy Woo 表示:“内部的投资者资金流动模型预测,比特币在 12 月 24 日触底,此后一直在稳步走强。通常情况下,需要 2-3 周的时间才能反映在价格上,可以说现在这种情况正在发生(只是受到技术指标短期超买的抑制)。另一个利好因素是,纸币流动性(期货市场)在经历了数月的低迷后正在恢复,就像 2021 年年中那样,当时促成了上一轮周期的第二个顶部。因此,9.8 -10 万美元的阻力位需要守住。如果突破该阻力位,接下来需要观察 ATH 的阻力情况。
但我仍然看空 2026 年,因为从更宏观的角度来看,自 2025 年 1 月以来,流动性相对于价格动能一直在减弱。我们目前正处于最后阶段的热点区域,此时动能缺乏足够的流动性支撑。如果未来几个月有大量现货(即长期)流动性涌入,打破下跌趋势,我的想法才会改变。值得注意的是,目前尚未确认熊市,而熊市的确认将表现为比特币资金持续流出(这是周期顶部的一个滞后指标)。”
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