潘森宏观:欧洲央行或于6月和7月各加息25个基点,预计通胀稳定在2.5%-3.0%

Gate News消息,3月31日,潘森宏观的Claus Vistesen在报告中表示,欧洲央行可能在未来数月加息。数据显示,欧元区整体通胀在3月升至2.5%,且短期内仍将进一步上升,预计今年和明年将稳定在2.5%至3.0%区间。潘森宏观预计,该央行将在6月和7月各加息25个基点。尽管如此,鉴于经济表现疲弱,降息仍将保留在政策选项之中。报告指出,欧洲央行将尝试在政策利率接近中性利率(既不刺激也不抑制经济增长的利率水平)区间上限(约2.5%)的水平上进行微调,以期在通胀上行风险与经济陷入衰退的风险之间取得平衡。

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