调查预计:美联储或仍计划在今年晚些时候下调利率

BlockBeatNews

BlockBeats 消息,3 月 26 日,据路透社的一项调查,经济学家们认为美联储将在 9 月之前维持利率不变。不过,尽管对中东战争引发的通胀担忧不断,这些经济学家仍预计今年晚些时候会至少有一次降息。与之相对,金融市场已完全排除了今年会降息的可能性,并认为今年加息的可能性高达近 30%。因为美以与伊朗的战争已持续了四周之久,导致原油价格上涨了超过 40%。

经济学家预计,此次能源冲击带来的影响将更为有限且持续时间较短。在路透社的调查中,经济学家们对于到 2026 年底利率水平的预测意见分歧明显,大致可分为四类,有 28 人预计将降息一次,37 人认为将降息两次,虽然有 13 人预计今年利率将保持不变,但也有 4 人预测将降息三次。(金十)

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