Polymarket 上线「4月底前哪些国家将对伊朗采取军事行动」预测事件，沙特交易占比最高

Kalshi Launches Commodities Hub With Pyth as Data Provider for Oil, Gold, and Lithium Markets

Gate News message, April 23 — Prediction market platform Kalshi has partnered with crypto oracle protocol Pyth as a data provider for its newly launched Commodities Hub, an interface enabling users to trade binary options on commodities including Brent crude oil, gold, lithium, and soybeans. Pyth wi

Polymarket 爆操控獲利事件！Vitalik：應強制使用 3 個以上獨立來源

Vitalik Buterin 於 4 月 23 日就 Polymarket 平台吹風機操控事件發表評論，表示對於此類事件，預測市場應強制要求使用至少 3 個（甚至更多）獨立來源的中位數作為裁定依據。此前，一名用戶以吹風機人為升高巴黎氣象採集終端溫度數據，操控與天氣相關預測市場事件結果，從中獲利約 34,000 美元。

Jupiter 推出 Telegram 預測市場機器人，新增 Clans 組隊功能

根據 SolanaFloor 4 月 23 日報道，基於 Solana 的去中心化交易聚合平台 Jupiter 正式推出 Jupiter Prediction Bot，將預測市場功能引入 Telegram 平台，用戶無需離開即時通訊應用程式即可存取預測市場。

Profitable Trader Bets $34K Against U.S. Military Intervention in Iran on Polymarket

Gate News message, April 23 — A high-performing trader (ID: Car, address: 0x7c3db723f1d4d8cb9c550095203b686cb11e5c6b) with over $1.25 million in lifetime profits has accumulated approximately $34,000 in "No" positions on Polymarket's "Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?" prediction market,

Polymarket User Profits $34K by Manipulating Paris Airport Weather Sensor

A user made about $34,000 on Polymarket by tampering with a Paris CDG temperature sensor to inflate readings, affecting weather contracts settled with Météo France; two manipulation events on April 6 and 15; charges filed. A trader earned roughly $34,000 on Polymarket by artificially boosting a sensor near Paris Charles de Gaulle Airport to spike a day's high temperature, exploiting mispriced weather options. Polymarket's weather settlements relied on Météo France data; the incidents occurred on April 6 and April 15, and Météo France has pressed market-manipulation charges.

Kalshi 交易量超越 Polymarket，兩大預測市場進軍永續期貨

根據彭博社 4 月 23 日報道，曾長期主導預測市場交易量的 Polymarket 面臨多重運營困境。Dune Analytics 數據顯示，Polymarket 全球交易量已被 Kalshi 超越；估值方面，Kalshi 上月宣布新一輪融資後達 220 億美元。兩大預測市場在 4 月同步宣布進軍永續期貨市場。