Kalshi和Polymarket估值目标均为200亿美元

Gate日報（4月20日）：RAVE暴跌引發山寨幣操縱警告；嘉信理財考慮進軍預測市場

比特幣近期回吐漲幅，報74,240美元。RAVE代幣暴跌95%，引發市場操縱的警告。嘉信理財及城堡證券考慮進入預測市場。美股上漲，投資者關注中東局勢及財報季。市場流動性低，短期回調不需過度擔心。

Kalshi Traders Forecast XRP to Hit $1.60 in April

Kalshi traders predict XRP will reach $1.60 in April amid rising demand and significant ETF inflows. With a bullish technical outlook and upcoming regulatory votes, XRP's market dynamics show potential for further gains, despite risks of declining support levels if outcomes are unfavorable.

英超熱刺對布萊頓關鍵一戰，Polymarket 預測熱刺降級機率達 50%

熱刺本賽季從歐霸冠軍衝至降級區，面臨保級危機。球隊在14場不勝中遭遇連環傷病及主帥更替，ESPN報導指出傳球能力差是關鍵因素。周日對布萊頓的比賽將是保級生死戰，若敗將嚴重影響士氣與排名。保級成功需三大條件，對於曾經的金字塔球隊，降級勢必造成重大損失。

Hong Kong SFC Investment Committee Warns Prediction Market Trading May Constitute Illegal Gambling

The Hong Kong SFC warns that prediction markets are speculative and not investment products, lacking regulatory protection. They involve gambling elements, potentially making them illegal. The committee urges the public to differentiate between investment and gambling.

Prediction Markets Show Stark Wealth Concentration: 84% of Traders Lose Money

Prediction markets show stark wealth concentration, with 84.1% of Polymarket traders losing money, while just 0.04% hold over 70% of profits. Legislative efforts like the BETS OFF Act aim to regulate betting on sensitive events, as concerns rise over user protections amid the entry of major financial institutions.

DAZN Partners with ADI Predictstreet to Launch Blockchain Prediction Market for 2026 World Cup

DAZN partners with ADI Predictstreet to introduce a blockchain prediction market for the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Users can engage in real-time predictions, utilizing advanced technology for privacy and scalability, despite regulatory challenges in Europe.