3月2日消息，受美国与伊朗冲突升级影响，全球金融市场情绪趋于紧张。亚洲股市周一普遍下跌，国际油价大幅上扬，而加密资产市场虽出现回调，但比特币仍维持在约66000美元附近震荡，显示出一定抗压能力。
数据显示，截至亚洲早盘交易时段，比特币在过去24小时内小幅回落约1%，价格约为66700美元附近；Ethereum跌幅约2%，报1970美元左右。此前周末期间，由于中东局势迅速恶化，比特币一度在63000至66000美元区间波动。
地缘政治风险成为此次市场波动的重要触发因素。此前有消息称，在美国与以色列针对伊朗的联合空袭行动中，伊朗最高领袖Ali Khamenei疑似遇袭身亡。随后，美国总统Donald Trump在社交平台表示，美国将对中东地区美军伤亡事件进行报复行动，进一步加剧市场紧张情绪。
分析人士指出，加密市场在周末保持交易，使其成为投资者消化突发宏观风险的重要渠道。Dominick John认为，随着交易员逐渐消化冲突消息，比特币价格迅速从短期支撑位反弹，体现出数字资产市场全天候流动性的优势。
相比之下，传统市场在周一开盘后反应更为剧烈。日本日经225指数盘中一度下跌超过2.5%，东证指数跌近3%；中国香港恒生指数、新加坡海峡时报指数均下跌约2%，中国台湾加权指数回落约0.9%。
与此同时，能源市场波动显著。布伦特原油价格在亚洲早盘上涨超过7%，升至每桶约78美元；黄金也上涨约1.9%。研究员Rick Maeda指出，石油价格是当前地缘政治冲击向金融市场传导的关键变量。如果油价突破并稳定在90美元以上，通胀预期可能上升，美元与实际收益率走强，从而对比特币等风险资产构成压力。
市场还密切关注霍尔木兹海峡局势。该航道承担全球约20%的石油运输，一旦航运受阻，能源价格和全球通胀预期可能进一步上升。
不过，从链上数据和衍生品指标来看，加密市场目前尚未出现系统性压力。Rick Maeda指出，稳定币并未出现明显脱锚迹象，市场也没有大规模强制平仓，这意味着当前波动更多源于宏观事件冲击，而非行业内部风险。
分析人士认为，未来比特币走势将与油价、通胀预期以及美伊局势发展密切相关。在宏观方向更加明朗之前，数字资产市场波动可能仍将维持在较高水平。
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