Is the Price Rise Cycle of Bitcoin Coming to an End? Analysts Provide Their Opinions

"The old money flow cycle is being broken," cryptocurrency trader 'Koroush AK' shared with his 376,000 followers on X on Wednesday, referring to the previous money flow pattern that rotated from Bitcoin to Ether and then to altcoins. He added: "Now we must navigate through isolated small cycles, where only some sectors are growing while others are left behind."

The flow of money from BTC to ETH remains the same, but currently "sectors only grow when money and attention overlap," he said before adding, "If one of the two is lacking, that sector will be overlooked." He used Chainlink (LINK) as an example of a token that increased in value thanks to Ether instead of Uniswap (UNI), which has largely been overlooked. What about the 4-Year Cycle? If this theory is correct, it could also change the four-year cycle, which typically revolves around the Bitcoin halving event. Earlier this week, analyst James Check stated that "Bitcoin has gone through three cycles and they are not anchored around the halving event," adding that they are anchored around "adoption trends and market structure," with the peak of the market in 2017 and the bottom in 2022 being the turning points.

He stated that there have been three cycles so far: the "adoption cycle" from 2011 to 2018, the "teenage cycle" from 2018 to 2022, and the current "maturity cycle," driven by the "maturity and stability of the institution." The veteran hedge fund "PlanC" stated on Thursday that there is a "99% chance that the stock-to-flow model will break down this cycle and a 50/50 chance that the 4-year cycle will be broken."

Meanwhile, trader Bob Loukas stated that it is hard to know which way things will go.

"Either the 4-year cycle has peaked and we are strongly distributing as the last buyers have exhausted... or we are just a few weeks away from the explosion phase, which means doubling quickly ( or more ) within 3-6 months." Earlier this month, Bitwise's Chief Information Officer, Matthew Hougan, stated that the growth momentum may continue into 2026, "so, you could say this: I think the 4-year cycle has ended." Is the Recession Approaching? Glassnode also stated that Bitcoin is still following its traditional pattern but this week added that recent profit-taking activity and increased selling pressure "indicate that the market has entered the final stage of the cycle." In previous instances, the cryptocurrency market has sharply declined in September of the bullish year before recovering and reaching new highs by the end of the year. If history repeats itself, this could happen next month.

It is still unknown whether this cycle is about to peak or will extend until 2026, but many opinions support the latter case due to the strong participation of institutions in the cryptocurrency market, something that has not been seen in previous cycles.