Yanshuang

Market Strategy Tips (April 3 — April 4, Yesterday to Today)
Market Analysis
From yesterday to today (April 3 — April 4), the market is in a phase of "strong pre-NFP pricing + hawkish Fed expectations reinforced twice + Middle East geopolitical conflicts recurring," with a tug-of-war between bulls and bears. Gold experienced a sharp decline and triggered technical correction around the key support zone of $4,550–$4,600, showing a narrow consolidation and weak tug-of-war pattern between bulls and bears. The crypto market, after breaching the 66,000 level and dropping to a new low of 64,000, has

Market Strategy Tips (April 1 — April 2, from yesterday to today)
Market Analysis
From yesterday to today (4.1—4.2), the market has shown a triple resonance of expectations for geopolitical easing being fulfilled, US economic data exceeding expectations, and re-pricing of rate hike expectations. Gold continued its strong rally for four consecutive days, approaching a new all-time high of $4,800 before encountering resistance and pulling back; the crypto market experienced intense volatility within the 60,000–68,000 range, with a sudden flash crash in the early session, increased long and short

Market Strategy Tips (April 1st, from yesterday to today)
Market Analysis
From yesterday to today (April 1st), the market experienced a strong rebound driven by a triple effect: expectations of easing in Middle East conflicts, cooling concerns about stagflation, and concentrated technical buying. The crypto market simultaneously stabilized after declines and rebounded with reduced volume, with high volatility retreating.
Macro News
Core Macro Themes: Geopolitical easing + falling oil prices, slight recovery in rate cut expectations
Clear signs of easing in Middle East tensions: Iranian preside

Market Strategy Tips (March 30 — March 31, Yesterday to Today)
Market Analysis
From yesterday to today (3.30—3.31), the market is in a stage of combined factors: increased Middle East geopolitical risk aversion + a pause in hawkish expectations from the Federal Reserve + technical oversold recovery. Gold has strongly V-shaped reversed after hitting bottom, regaining above $4,500 and consolidating; the crypto market, after touching the key support at 66,000, has weakly rebounded, showing a low-volume correction and reduced volatility with a tug-of-war pattern.
Macro News
Core Macro Theme: Risk

# Market Strategy Tips (March 26)
## Market Analysis:
On March 26, the market is experiencing weak recovery oscillations amid "repeated geopolitical expectations + repricing of macro rate hike expectations." Gold has entered a narrow consolidation phase following a technical rebound, while the crypto market, after completing the first round of long-short positioning shifts at the $70,000 level, is displaying a see-saw pattern of high-level divergence and elevated volatility.
## Macro Information:
1. The market's core trading logic has entered a stage of "two-way game between geopolitical confl

Market Analysis:
On March 25, the market is experiencing a typical "technical rebound under macroeconomic headwinds." Gold has stabilized and rebounded after consecutive sharp declines, while the crypto market is seeing intense back-and-forth action around the $70,000 level.
Macro News:
1. Market trading logic has shifted from inflation driven by crude oil supply disruptions to "global economic recession." High oil prices expose central banks worldwide to dual shocks from inflation and reduced import payment capacity, potentially leading to partial liquidation of gold reserves.
2. Trump's "cea

Market Analysis:
The current market is experiencing severe volatility following the escalation of the US-Iran "Rashomon" event. Trump's remarks about "negotiation progress" triggered a sharp global market reversal, while Iran's categorical denial has pushed the market into a new round of speculation.
Macro News:
1. Yesterday, Trump claimed that the US and Iran had engaged in "very good and productive dialogue" over the past two days and expressed strong willingness to reach an agreement with Iran, potentially within 5 days or even sooner. Subsequently, Iran firmly denied any dialogue with the

Market Analysis:
The current market is in a risk-release period under the dual pressure of geopolitical conflicts and macro tightening. Gold, Bitcoin, and Ethereum are declining in sync. The simultaneous selloff of gold and Bitcoin—previously considered "safe-haven assets"—indicates capital flight toward the US dollar and short-term bonds.
Macro Insights:
1. Market expectations for rate cuts in the first half of the year have fallen below 50%, meaning the opportunity cost of holding gold remains elevated. Capital is withdrawing from interest-free assets, with safe-haven funds pivoting toward c