Next week's macro outlook: The Bank of Japan and the Federal Reserve may signal interest rate hikes

金色财经_ · 2026-03-29T02:10:52+00:00

The ongoing Israel-Palestine conflict will likely determine whether peace talks proceed or escalate into further conflict in the coming week. The market is focused on the Federal Reserve and Bank of Japan's interest rate hike expectations, as well as the impact of U.S. non-farm payroll data. Meanwhile, the U.S. stock market will be closed on April 3rd, and trading in precious metals and oil markets will be suspended.

金色财经_

2026-03-29 02:10:52

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Jinse Finance News reports that on March 29, the conflict between the US and Iran has been ongoing for a full month. The coming week will still be filled with uncertainty and black swan events, and whether diplomacy takes place or tensions escalate into a conflict, every small step will affect the market’s tightly wound nerves. In addition to geopolitical tensions, the Bank of Japan and the Federal Reserve will show their rate-hike expectations roadmap to the market. US nonfarm payrolls data will also have a significant impact on market expectations for liquidity. The details are as follows:
Monday 07:50, the Bank of Japan releases a summary of the opinions from committee members regarding its March monetary policy meeting;
Tuesday 04:00, New York Fed Chair Williams delivers remarks;
Wednesday 00:00, Chicago Fed Chair Goolsbee gives opening remarks at an event hosted by the bank;
Wednesday 23:00, 2026 FOMC voter and Dallas Fed Chair Logan delivers remarks; Thursday 20:30, US initial jobless claims for the week ending March 28, and the US February trade balance;
Friday 20:30, the US March unemployment rate, US March seasonally adjusted nonfarm payroll employment, US March average hourly earnings YoY, US March average hourly earnings MoM;
Friday 21:45, the final reading of S&P Global Services PMI for the US in March.
Finally, on April 3 (Friday), the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) and Nasdaq are closed all day. Trading in precious metals and US crude oil futures is paused for the entire day. Stock index futures end early (Beijing time 21:15). FX and US Treasury futures end early (Beijing time 23:15). Brent crude oil futures are paused for the entire day.

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