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Barclays: Divergence in monetary policy benefits the U.S. stock market
Goldman Sachs reports that on March 26, Barclays analysts stated in a report that due to factors such as divergence in monetary policy maneuvering space, U.S. monetary policy still provides much greater support for risk assets than Europe. These analysts said, “The contrast in monetary policy is quite clear: despite Europe being more affected by oil shocks, markets still reflect expectations of further tightening, while the Federal Reserve has more room to ignore recent energy-driven inflation and lean toward easing rather than re-raising interest rates.” They noted that this policy asymmetry increases the gap between U.S. and European stock markets. “The U.S. continues to offer a clearer profile, including double-digit earnings growth, non-cyclical AI-driven capital expenditures, profit margin support, and policy flexibility, which provides reasons to remain optimistic about U.S. stock performance relative to Europe.” (Zhihui Finance)