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The encryption of Twitter has too much redundant information, how can we efficiently find alpha?
Author: hoeem, encryption KOL
Compiled by: Felix, PANews
There are many high-value accounts on encryption Twitter that can provide a lot of alpha signals (valid information), however, the amount of noise (interference information) is hundreds of times greater than the former, so users' experience on encryption Twitter and their ability to obtain valid information is very poor.
The following will teach you how to create a timeline to help you benefit from the following accounts:
First, we need to find accounts that can select outstanding altcoins at the right time.
Looking for accounts that can predict altcoins
1**: Identify high-performing tokens**
You can visit CoinGecko to see the best performing tokens in the past 30 days.
2**: Note down the dates of interest**
You need to find the date before the price rises.
For example, $LIQD on Hyperliquid.
To view the data between May 14 and June 1:
3**: Advanced Search Filter**
You can click here for the browser version.
4**: Is it purely luck, okay?**
If you really want to know whether their predictions are accurate every time, you can check all the tweets posted by that account for verification (it's not very likely to be accurate every time in the encryption field, but if they can get it right once out of 100 times, it might be worth looking into).
Find the account that correctly judges the market direction
You can use the same method to find the direction and determine the correct account.
1**: Find the date of interest**
You need to find accounts that are bullish at the low points; in this case, look at the accounts between April 5th and 12th.
In addition, you need to find the accounts that were bearish at the peak, in this case, look at the accounts between January 17 and 31.
2**: Advanced Search Filter**
You can click here to use the browser version.
You can use the "All Search Terms" search bar to search for phrases like "bullish on Bitcoin," "Bitcoin low point," "bullish $BTC," or "$BTC bottom."
Then enter the dates of interest near the bottom, which are from April 5 to 12.
Then use the "All Search Terms" search bar to perform the same operation to search for phrases like "bearish Bitcoin," "Bitcoin high point," "bearish $BTC," or "$BTC top."
Then enter the dates you are interested in near the top, that is, from January 17 to 31.
3**: Write down these account names**
A list of accounts can be created that correctly assesses the direction in extreme market conditions.
4**: Is the directional judgment dull?**
You need to check whether they are always bullish or always bearish.
Just manually quickly review the account by the following method:
(bullish)(from@____)
(bearish)(from@____)
In addition to other keywords that indicate their bearish or bullish sentiment, if it remains bullish throughout the year, then not much useful information will be gained; if it remains bearish throughout the year, then the same applies, not much useful information will be gained.
Conclusion
To find alpha on X, you need to spend more time than usual, because those "clowns" are always the loudest. You just need to create two lists:
When the market is as volatile as it is now and altcoins are scattered, you need all the help you can get. This article is inspired by Ignas, who has done a lot of work but not all of it; you can use this method to find "highly profitable" accounts.
Note: The following is Ignas's list:
Venture Capital Research (Beware of biases, but insights from VCs can be gained):
Source:
Independent Blogger:
Related reading: The impact economy of encryption on Twitter: How a few accounts control the narrative?