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Don't remind me again today

Recently, many people have asked me why I don't do shorting Bitcoin. Here, I will discuss my judgment from three dimensions.



**Technical Aspect: The Mathematical Moat Has Yet to Be Breached**
I agree with a viewpoint that Musk had before – no matter how powerful AI is, it cannot change the underlying rules of mathematics. The most advanced quantum computers are still far from breaking the SHA-256 algorithm; conservatively estimating, they are not a threat at all within the next five years. Since the technological foundation is quite stable, the logic of shorting does not hold.

**Policy Background: The Ruling Family's Deep Involvement**
The Trump family is now openly betting on making money with Bitcoin. Eric has set up a mining farm in Texas with 35,000 liquid-cooled devices, capable of mining nearly 9 coins a day, accounting for about 2% of the global daily output. This is not just a hobby—it's an industry with real money invested, and the more they earn, the more they will maintain this market. The regulatory environment for these people is, quite frankly, the most comfortable it has ever been.

**Mining Landscape: Decentralization Remains the Main Theme**
Many people think that American Bitcoin has a large scale, but in fact, its current computing power is only around 24 EH/s. Let's compare:
- MARA has reached 60 EH/s.
- CLSK also has 47 EH/s, and the expansion speed is extremely fast.

Leading mining companies are more efficient and have lower costs. The network's computing power landscape is still quite decentralized; a single player trying to monopolize? Basically impossible. Instead, it is the mining giants with strong operational capabilities that benefit.

**My operational thinking**
The short-term technology has no major flaws, mid-term policies and capital endorsements are in place, and the long-term mining ecosystem is robust—under these circumstances, the risk-reward ratio for shorting is too poor. Therefore, I will continue to hold onto mining concept stocks like MARA, CLSK, and HUT, benefiting from the elastic space brought by computing power expansion and policy dividends.

The market is risky, the above is only a personal opinion and does not constitute investment advice.
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CryptoPhoenixvip
· 11-30 20:52
It's another day of being taught how to be a human, but looking at this logical chain, it really is tough... The Trump family has bet on it, and our shorting is indeed a confrontation with the national fortune. Faith must continue, it's time to lie in ambush in the bottom range, MARA and CLSK have something in this wave. When losing money, it's most important to stay clear-headed; this opportunity has come, we can't miss it again. Rebirth from nirvana, patience will eventually lead to dawn. Those who have crossed cycles know that policies and capital endorsement are the real gold and silver; once the mindset is rebuilt, it's time to take action.
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Layer2Observervip
· 11-30 20:51
Well, the data layer indeed holds up, the hashrate growth of MARA and CLSK in the past two months looks decent. --- However, I want to ask a detail, is the endorsement of policies being overestimated? Historically, the regulatory stance has changed quite a bit during power transitions. --- The conservative five-year statement regarding Quantum Computing reminds me that someone said this before... However, I really haven't seen any actual threats at the moment. --- The conclusion about the decentralization of mining is fine, but what happens after the scale effect kicks in? Will the leaders ultimately still eat up the small players? --- The computing power landscape is indeed interesting; from the source code perspective, the network security is actually being enhanced.
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SocialAnxietyStakervip
· 11-30 20:51
My buddy is not wrong, I didn't take the Trump family seriously at first, but it really seems to be the long wick candle of the market now.
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CoinBasedThinkingvip
· 11-30 20:48
Oh no, the Trump family has all entered a position, this matter is indeed a bit different. The policy support in this area is really strong, and the mining enterprise landscape is stable, no wonder they are not shorting. MARA and CLSK's expansion of computing power is really fast, I’m a bit impressed.
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FOMOrektGuyvip
· 11-30 20:41
Wait, is the Trump family really mining? Then I need to copy the homework quickly, haha.
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