#FOMC The probability of a rate cut in December is currently 53.6%, while this figure was 95.5% a month ago. The absence of important data such as CPI and non-farm payrolls during the US government shutdown has increased uncertainty, leading to a drop in rate cut expectations. Starting next week, the US government will fully resume operations. The price must hold the important position of 100,000 this week, otherwise it will be quite troublesome.