【October 7 Tactical Strategy | How to Operate at Historical Highs?】

#BTC再创新高 #今日你看涨还是看跌？
📊 Today's Core Logic

1. News Resonance:
Government shutdown continues → Non-farm data continues to be delayed → October rate cut expectations remain at a high level of 98%

BlackRock ETF weekly net inflows surpassed $4 billion, setting a historical record.

2. Technical Signals:
The Bitcoin 4-hour chart has formed a bullish-bearish watershed at 123255.
The daily MACD for the second contract shows a bearish divergence, and caution is required regarding the risk of a pullback.

🎯 White Market Operation Strategy
(Recommended position ≤ 30%, strict stop loss)

BTC
122500-123000 (Stabilizing and trying to go long)
125600-126000 (short selling during stagnation)
Add to position at 123255, stop loss if it falls below 122500.

ETH
4560-4590 (Step-by-step Position Building)
4710-4740 (short selling in batches)
Stand firm on 4695 to chase more, exit if it falls below 4560.

SOL
228-231 (Rebound Layout)
237-240 (Stress Test)
Break through 232 to see 235, stop loss if it falls below 228

⚠️ Risk Warning

If US tech stocks plunge at the market open (especially Tesla and Coinbase), it will drag down the cryptocurrency market.
· The EIA crude oil inventory data will be released at 22:30, which may trigger fluctuations in commodity correlations.

💡 Market Prediction

The market after reaching a historical high is like walking on a tightrope.

· If 123255 holds, there is hope to challenge 128000
· If it falls below 122500, it may pull back to 118000
It is recommended to use a dual strategy of "buying on dips + key level reversal", rejecting dead bull/dead bear mindset.

Data source: CoinGlass, TradingView
This is just a personal opinion for reference and should not be considered as investment advice.