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Report: Bitcoin Could Rise to $170,000 by 2026, Driven by U.S. Policy Reforms and Institutional Demand
The latest annual report from South Korea's Korbit Research Center predicts that Bitcoin will reach the $140,000 to $170,000 range in 2026. It highlights that the core drivers behind the price increase are US fiscal reforms, structural institutional demand, and a strong US dollar environment, rather than the traditional four-year halving cycle. The research team proposes a new macro-driven theory, emphasizing that improvements in US productivity and an expansion in capital expenditure have significantly enhanced Bitcoin’s impact.
The report identifies “a strengthening US dollar, a potential gold pullback, and increased institutional allocation to Bitcoin” as the three key driving factors. ETFs and Digital Asset Treasuries (DATs) are rapidly absorbing market liquidity, and as of November 2025, the two combined will hold 11.7% of Bitcoin’s supply. The “One Big Bill” (OB3), expected to take effect in July 2025, will restore 100% bonus depreciation and immediate deduction of R&D expenses, potentially lowering the effective corporate tax rate to 10%-12%. Korbit believes this will attract overseas capital to the US and sustain the US dollar’s long-term strength.
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