Pi Coin breaks the bottom, approaching the zone of 0.4 USD – Is 1 USD just a matter of time?

Pi Coin has just recorded a 5% increase in a day, climbing to its highest price level in three weeks. At the same time, the trading volume also surged to 114 million USD, an increase of over 50% compared to the previous day. This has made Pi one of the few cryptocurrencies to go against the trend as most of the market is still struggling to hold its ground.

So what is driving the price increase of Pi Network?

New listings enhance accessibility

One of the key drivers behind the recent growth momentum of Pi Network is the expansion of its listing on exchanges and traditional financial markets.

First of all, Valour – a subsidiary of DeFi Technologies, currently listed on the London Stock Exchange (LSE) – has officially launched eight new ETP products focused on digital assets. Notably, among these is Valour Pi (PI) Swedish Krona (SEK) ETP, the first product to bring Pi closer to institutional investors and investment funds in Europe.

This event is not just a mere new listing, but also has strategic significance:

• Increase the accessibility of Pi: Instead of only trading on cryptocurrency exchanges, Pi can now be accessed as a standard financial instrument through traditional stock exchanges.
• Enhance legality and reliability: Being included in the product portfolio of a regulated financial institution helps Pi gain recognition at the institutional level.
• Attracting new capital: ETPs are often the preferred choice for traditional investors, especially those who want to access digital assets but still require strict standards of transparency and financial oversight.

Alongside its progress in Europe, Pi Network has also been listed on Swapfone (BTCC) – a regulated cryptocurrency trading platform in the United States. The PI/USDS trading pair has officially launched, allowing American and international investors to trade Pi more conveniently and transparently.

Notably, Swapfone comes with many promotional programs, including airdrops for new traders. These campaigns serve a dual purpose: to stimulate initial interest and to increase liquidity, helping the market absorb supply and demand more effectively.

Thus, the combination of Valour ETP in Europe and listing on a regulated platform in the US has created a global access ecosystem for Pi. This is a crucial platform that helps this cryptocurrency overcome the barriers of the originating community and get closer to institutional investors – those who have the potential to bring sustainable capital in the long term.

Ecosystem Upgrade and Mainnet Approaching

Not only driven by listing information, the sentiment of Pi Network investors is currently being strongly reinforced by expectations of a historical milestone: the Mainnet launch event on September 3, 2025, accompanied by the v23.01 update. This is not just a simple technical upgrade, but is also seen as an important turning point, marking the maturity of Pi after many years of testing and controversy.

According to the announcement from the development team, version v23.01 will focus on three core improvements. First, security is prioritized with the implementation of advanced encryption algorithms and a new authentication mechanism, helping to minimize the risk of attacks and ensure the integrity of each transaction. Next, network performance will be optimized, allowing for faster transaction processing speeds, greater scalability, and lower latency, leading to a smoother experience for users. Finally, the open-source aspect will be expanded, allowing the developer community to contribute directly to testing, application development, and refining the Pi ecosystem towards decentralization.

A special highlight that excites the technical community is the official release of the Linux Node version by Pi. This is considered a long-term strategic move, as Linux is the primary operating system in server infrastructure and blockchain. The introduction of the Linux Node not only facilitates Pi's easy integration into practical deployment environments but also contributes to standardizing network infrastructure, enhancing decentralization, and improving censorship resistance. At the same time, developers can leverage the vast Linux ecosystem to create new tools, applications, and services around Pi, significantly expanding the scope of applications in the future.

It can be said that the combination of the official Mainnet and the v23.01 upgrade has created an important "launchpad", reinforcing the confidence of the current community while attracting more interest from the technology sector and investors. This is no longer just a project that piques curiosity in the community with "click to mine coins", but is gradually progressing towards the shape of a practical blockchain with the potential for widespread application in digital life and the decentralized economy.

Supply pressure eased in September

An equally important factor in supporting the price of Pi is the token unlock schedule – which has always been a sensitive variable for any cryptocurrency.

According to data from PiScan, around 163.4 million PI tokens will be put into circulation in September. This number may seem large at first glance, but compared to August – when the volume unlocked was nearly double – this is actually a significant "pressure relief" for the market.

Source: PiscanThis has some key implications:

• A decrease in new supply means the market has more time to absorb tokens, instead of being "flooded" with selling pressure.
• Investor sentiment is reinforced: a slowdown in the unlocking speed is often understood as a positive signal, as it limits the risk of short-term value dilution.
• Create space for recovery: in the context of demand showing signs of returning, the reduction in supply will help Pi easily maintain its upward momentum, even having the opportunity to break out if the cash flow continues to pour in.

In fact, the story of supply and demand is always the basic "pivot" of the cryptocurrency market. Many coins in the past, such as Solana or Avalanche, have recorded significant fluctuations around unlock periods. When the new supply is too large, prices often face downward pressure; conversely, if the supply is more limited than expected, prices may surge due to the factor of relative scarcity.

With Pi, the fact that the unlocking volume in September is nearly 50% lower than the previous month has become a "mood booster" that helps investors feel more optimistic. This is also an important supporting factor for the scenario of price stability and even opens up short-term growth opportunities this month.

Technical Analysis: Is Pi at a Recovery Level?

Currently, PI is trading around 0.38 USD, after recovering from a low of 0.32 USD in August. This recovery momentum has helped Pi become one of the few coins that has maintained a green color in a rather bleak overall market. In the past 24 hours, Pi has risen nearly 3%. From the bottom on August 25, (0.33 USD), this currency has increased by more than 16%, enough to rekindle hopes that Pi can gradually approach the psychological milestone of 1 USD if it maintains its momentum.

Technical signals are also somewhat reinforcing the short-term outlook. On the daily chart, the RSI is currently at 52.64, which, while still below the neutral threshold of 50, has escaped the oversold area, indicating that buying pressure is returning. In addition, the MACD has avoided a bearish crossover signal, reflecting weakened selling pressure and opening up opportunities for a new recovery move.

RSI and MACD of PI | Source: TradingViewThe 0.412 USD area is acting as an important technical resistance level. If Pi breaks through and closes a stable candle above this level along with increased liquidity, the recovery trend could be extended, potentially aiming towards the 0.5 USD area in the short term.

However, the upward momentum of Pi still faces many challenges. First is the pressure of unlocking tokens worth up to 62.8 million USD, a significant supply that could trigger strong selling pressure if the market does not absorb it in time. In addition, liquidity is clearly weakening, with average trading volume now only around 43.8 million USD per day, much lower than the early stages of Q2. This makes Pi susceptible to strong fluctuations in the face of large sell orders, increasing the risk of a sharp decline.

More importantly, looking at the long-term framework, Pi has not yet escaped the prolonged downtrend channel since May. The long-term RSI is still in the low range around 32, while the MACD is moving sideways in the negative zone, indicating a lack of decisiveness from both buyers and sellers.

In the short term, the price movement of Pi (PI) is assessed to be quite sensitive and dependent on the tug-of-war between buying and selling forces. In a negative scenario, if the sellers dominate, Pi could slide back to the support area of 0.322 USD – the historical low that was previously established. Breaching this level poses the risk of triggering a panic sell-off wave, causing the price to drop further and significantly weakening the recovery outlook.

Conversely, in a positive scenario, if the demand remains strong and this currency successfully breaks through the resistance zone of 0.4 – 0.412 USD, the recovery trend will be reinforced. At that point, Pi could very well aim for the 0.50 USD mark, and if market sentiment is even more optimistic, 1 USD will become a symbolic target, attracting more funds and interest from the community.

PI Price Chart | Source: TradingView## Expert Opinion: Why is Pi recovering?

According to analyst Kim Wong, the current recovery of Pi Network is not just a typical technical reaction, but a result of multiple positive factors converging at the same time.

Firstly, the listing event on Swapfone from August 25 has brought new vitality to the market. This is not only a new trading pair but also an important step to help Pi expand its presence on a regulated platform in the United States, increase transparency, and attract international investors.

Secondly, the launch of the Valour Pi ETP in Europe has made a significant impact. ETP is a financial instrument that allows traditional investors to easily access digital assets without the need to directly manage wallets or custody coins. The inclusion of Pi in this portfolio not only enhances its reputation but also opens the door for Pi to penetrate institutional capital – a remarkable advancement for a currency that originated from the community.

Tuesday, the protocol update and the deployment of the Linux node signal that Pi is gradually completing its technical infrastructure. The Linux node not only helps standardize the network infrastructure but also enhances scalability, supporting the participation of developers, programmers, and technology partners globally. This is a factor that reinforces long-term confidence in the project's operational and development capabilities.

Finally, the previous oversold condition has inadvertently created an attractive "entry point" for new capital. When the Pi price hit the bottom zone, many investors viewed this as a buying opportunity, thus creating momentum for a natural recovery of the market.

The strategic significance of Valour ETP

Founded in 2019, Valour is a regulated financial company that serves as a bridge between digital assets and traditional financial markets. The company currently offers 85 trading products related to over 30 cryptocurrencies, including major assets such as Bitcoin and Ethereum.

The appearance of Pi in Valour's ETP product range signifies far more than a typical listing event:

• Expanding distribution channels: Pi is not limited to traditional crypto transactions but also enters the mainstream financial system.
• Increase reliability: ETP adheres to strict regulations, making Pi more trustworthy in the eyes of institutional investors.
• Rebranding: From a "community-originated" coin with a "tap to mine" model, Pi is gradually repositioning itself as a digital asset with the potential for widespread acceptance.

According to Kim Wong, this is the core difference that helps Pi recover: not only due to short-term market factors, but also because the project has made significant strides in accessing institutional capital and expanding long-term applicability.

Can Pi reclaim the 1 USD mark?

The possibility of Pi Coin returning to the price range of 1 USD remains a big question mark, reflecting a strong tug-of-war between two opposing forces in the market.

On the negative side, selling pressure mainly comes from the token unlocks in September, with a scale of up to hundreds of millions of units. The additional supply is so large that it could create significant pressure if demand cannot absorb it in time. Along with that, the weakening liquidity – as the average trading volume has sharply declined since May – makes the price of Pi more vulnerable to large sell orders, increasing the risk of sudden volatility.

However, on the contrary, the price increase momentum still exists thanks to a series of fundamental catalysts. Notably, the new listing moves on the exchange, the launch of Valour Pi ETP in Europe, along with ecosystem upgrades like Linux nodes and especially the expectation of the mainnet in September. These factors not only reinforce community confidence but also open the door to access institutional capital – which has been a powerful catalyst for many price surges in the history of the crypto market.

According to analysts, if positive factors are maintained, liquidity improves, and the overall market context is favorable, Pi could completely re-establish the 1 USD mark in the medium term. On the contrary, in a negative scenario where supply pressure prevails and pessimistic sentiment dominates, this currency still faces the risk of returning to lower support areas.

Lilly