Lab4crypto
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As Bitcoin's supply in profit decreases, selling pressure also decreases.
BTC-1.06%
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The crypto market is changing right in front of our eyes and most people are not noticing.
Take Bitcoin.
Its price action is no longer driven by “the market”. It is dominated by a handful of huge whales who still believe Bitcoin must obey the old prophecy that the cycle always tops in Q4 of the post-halving year.
Because of this belief, they are applying immense selling pressure.
What we are witnessing is the largest transfer of Bitcoin wealth in history from OG whales to institutions and retail.
At the same time, the world is shifting:
• The UAE openly embraces Bitcoin.
• ETFs keep growing th
BTC-1.06%
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Ultra-whales (10k–100k BTC) have been dumping holdings for over two years since November 21, 2022 (red arrow 📉). The tide turned on October 12, 2025, and they are now accumulating (blue arrow 📈). When the market panics, these whales seem to wake up.
BTC-1.06%
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November closed deep red. 🩸
Now the big question: Will December bring the green candles and a Santa Rally, or are we in for more pain? 🎅📉
What’s your prediction for $BTC? 👇
BTC-1.06%
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I am more excited for Bitcoin to break a new all-time high in 2026, not for the price but to finally break the 4-year cycle prophecy.
When it happens, the market structure narrative will change forever.
BTC-1.06%
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Waiting for the headline: 2026 was the year that Bitcoin's 4-year cycle broke.
Save the tweet
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Bitcoin wallets holding 100–1K BTC have started accumulating again after a brief slowdown.
This group has been key in absorbing the OG whales selling pressure all year.
Their return is a positive sign.
BTC-1.06%
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🚨 New Blog Just Dropped
Bitcoin closed 2 weeks below the 50W MA, historically a cycle-ending signal.
But this time, 2026 macro tells a very different story.
In today’s article, I outline the bear case, the bull case, and why 2026 may shock many investors.
Read it here 👇
BTC-1.06%
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In December 2019, the 100-week SMA acted as perfect support for Bitcoin and marked a major reversal.
We are now back at the same level.
Will it hold again, or do we break lower this time?
BTC-1.06%
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The pain historically ends when only 55% of the Bitcoin supply is in profit. Now we sit at 63%
BTC-1.06%
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What is your estimate for Bitcoin to recover?
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For perspective: the Crypto Fear and Greed Index is now lower than it was in November 2022 when Bitcoin bottomed at 15.7K.
The fear around the “4-year cycle” narrative has hit holders much harder than people realise.
BTC-1.06%
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Bitcoin’s 4-Year Cycle: Broken… or About to Explode?
Everyone is shouting narratives, but few are looking at the data.
I break down BOTH scenarios in my new video and explain why the next 3 months will decide everything for Bitcoin.
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Am I seeing this right? The OG whale is out of ammo, and we're still above 100K after more than $1 billion in selling pressure? 👀
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Bitcoin ETFs back in the green. Will we see an end to ETF outflows? Yesterday, ETFs saw 524M in inflows, with BlackRock leading at 224M.
BTC-1.06%
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Retail hasn’t joined the crypto market yet. What we see now is rotation from old hands into new narratives.
The roadmap to the altcoin season everyone wants is simple 👇
1️⃣ Pump Bitcoin to a new ATH → triggers market-wide FOMO
2️⃣ Liquidity flows into Ethereum → pushes ETH to new highs
3️⃣ Then BTC & ETH profits rotate into altcoins 🚀
4️⃣ Finally… the bear market hits: -50% BTC, -80/90% alts
This is the only path to a real altseason. Stack BTC first, then have fun.
So let's all agree on CT and start step 1.
BTC-1.06%
ETH-4.05%
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Before Nov 1, Bitcoin dolphins (100–1K BTC holders) were absorbing heavy whale sell pressure.
Between Nov 1–7, they turned net sellers, but since Nov 7, accumulation has resumed.
Their behaviour now is crucial to sustain the $100K–$103K support zone.
BTC-1.06%
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📊 Bitcoin supply in profit is at 74%, the same level we saw during the April crash. Back then, BTC recovered in just a month and gained over 30%.
Was the top in October? Or is this just another shakeout before the next leg up?
My view: the top is still ahead.
BTC-1.06%
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📊 Bitcoin supply in profit (79%) is now at levels last seen in mid-April, right after the “tariff crash.”
Back then, BTC recovered within a month and pushed to new ATHs.
Will history rhyme again?
Will November mark the next leg up?
BTC-1.06%
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